Posted by John Vidale on August 09, 2004 at 18:40:51:
From: E.D.G. Scientific Consultant edgrsprj@ix.netcom.com Date and time this advisory was circulated: February 21, 1998 (98/02/22 03:00:00 UTC) Posted to: Earthquake and disaster related Newsgroups THE TIME WHEN THE EARTHQUAKE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR: Between February 21, 1998 and February 25, 1998 POSSIBLE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDES FOR DIFFERENT LOCATIONS: 5.3 to 6.3 for URBAN, densely populated areas such as cities 6.3 to 6.8 for RURAL areas where there are scattered villages 6.8 + for REMOTE areas, mountains, deserts, in the ocean WHERE THE EARTHQUAKE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR: On January 30, 1998 I detected 2 earthquake warning type signals within about an hour of one another. One of the only other times that this has happened was towards the end of September, 1997 when all of the deadly earthquake activity was occurring in Central Italy. I circulated an advisory for a 5.5 to 6.5 magnitude earthquake. And on February 4, 1998 a 6.1 magnitude earthquake in Afghanistan reportedly killed more than 4000 people. On February 21, 1998 I detected 3 earthquake warning type signals within a few hours of one another. And they were similar in character to the warning signals which I detected on January 30, 1998. Information which I was able to collect in connection with that 2/4/98 earthquake in Afghanistan has enabled me to begin evaluating one of two experimental earthquake location determination procedures which I have been developing. Combined those two procedures presently point to a number of different locations for possible earthquakes after I detect an earthquake warning type signal. And several locations which I am concerned about with these latest warning signals are ones towards the western side of Afghanistan, possibly in the vicinity of and to the west of the 63.3 E longitude line.
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