In it there are listings for the following earthquakes:

1992/07/01 07:40:29 34.33N 116.40W 9.0 5.4
1989/10/18 00:04:15 37.03N 121.88W 19.0 7.1
(NEIS data)

And news reports are now stating that the following earthquakes just occurred. It sounds like both were felt by quite a few people.

2004/07/14 00:53:52 33.71N 116.06W 12.8 4.0
2004/07/13 23:45:45 35.73N 121.06W 6.3 4.1

If you compare those earthquakes you will see that my computer program did a fairly good job of identifying locations where seismic activity could be possible. And, it should be remembered that as I recently stated, my program does not say that an earthquake will definitely occur at some location. Rather it says that if there is a fault zone located there which has collected enough strain energy that it is getting ready to fracture anyway then cyclic sun and moon gravity related triggering forces could add a little extra strain to it and push it over the top. If there is not enough of that collected strain energy present as is the case for most of the locations identified by my program then nothing happens.

So, as I also stated in a recent note posted here, a short time ago my program did a good job of pointing to a location in the Italy area which would be a good candidate for seismic activity. And it now identified two accurate Ca locations. This might not yet be perfection. But as I have been saying, each advance, regardless of how small, helps move us forward.

2 BREAKTHROUGH DISCOVERIES

As I have also been saying, I believe that my program provides us with an extremely powerful earthquake research tool. And it has now generated data which I believe could be providing information on the following theories:

*** With the signals that I work with, multiple signals are often detected at about the same time. And the question is, "Are they associated with the same fault zone system or ones in different areas?" I presently suspect that they are for the same fault zone system. And determining if this is in fact the case is important for my forecasting program.

*** Something that I have observed is that quite often it appears that important earthquakes occurring considerable distances apart are occurring when similar triggering conditions are present. And I believe that I might now know why this is happening. It could be linked with tectonic plate weaknesses which are amplified by sun and moon gravity related forces.

This second theory is one which is going to require quite a bit of additional thought. It is extremely important to my own forecasting program and is also quite important to our understanding of how earthquakes are being triggered.

SKEPTICAL ATTITUDES

As I have stated in the past, a good question would be: “If this technology is so great then why aren’t governments around the world etc. using it to forecast earthquakes?”

And as I have proposed, the science of forecasting earthquakes can be thought of as being 1% science and 99% politics. And part of that 99% politics is the fact that scientists unfortunately often try to solve problems using approaches that they are comfortable with. For many things doing that is fine though perhaps inefficient. But when you are dealing with problems which are life threatening as earthquakes are then you need to try to get something, anything, working which has any hope of being successful regardless of whether or not you like the technology. That is unfortunately not happening here. Scientists are focusing on what they like to do instead of what they should be doing. And they then come up with excuses which sound quite reasonable such as: “Not enough research papers have been generated on that technology for us to be interested in it” etc.

I myself don’t believe in that line of reasoning. For example, I am not personally extremely interested in Shan’s sun shadow position based forecasting method and could not use it even if I were. But I still spent a considerable amount of time telling people about it and helping prepare a research report discussing it. I still do not know for certain if it works. But I felt that if it could be shown that it does work then it could be quite useful for people living in remote, impoverished areas.