Re: Timing of Morocco Earthquake Forecasted
Posted by chris in sububia on February 25, 2004 at 11:28:19:

I guess it's my turn, since Roger, Petra, Don commented on EQF's claim (I agree there is nothing there in EQF's claim). I don't think there is anything in your claim either. There is no unusual AI peak or pattern in your graph until March 3 or so. You claim success if there is a quake within 1 week of a peak. There are 152 M6 and larger quakes a year since 1990 (see link). That means one every 2.4 days. So, by chance there should be 5.8 earthquakes in any 2 week period. If you want to claim that there are less M6.4 and larger earthquakes, fine, but there would still be a couple (maybe 2) in any 2 week period. While I did not want Donald Boone to stop posting because of my comments (I liked his weekly summary), I don't think we can let unsubstantiated claims go unchallenged, if this page is going to have any credibility at all (if it is to be more than an ego thing for the posters, including me).
Chris



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Timing of Morocco Earthquake Forecasted - Larry Berg  07:09:04 - 3/23/2004  (21404)  (0)