Re: Quake-Volcano Prediction
Posted by Diane on January 08, 2000 at 10:08:41:

Mammoth in three days? Nay. Not according to the TR PRs or my head or my bowels or my behind my belly botton. But come 1/18, this could change for a moderate quake. Come 2/5, for something much larger. Still, I could be blind sided again and an another PR, previously matched with a quake up there and thus now hiden from my review, I suppose could come into play as has happened now in both TL and RB.

Perhaps, I should go back over all the TR PRs to see if any of their critical dates would project to this time frame. But then, shouldn't I be having the other symptoms for Mammoth as well?

No one can speak for God. We can quote Him from the Bible, but we can't put new words into His Mouth. Oh, we could make things up...as many in the past have...but for one to speak for God, the words must be 100% accurate over 100% of the time or they cannot be of God.

That's a given. While I have known that all along, I may have been quilty of seemingly trying to do just that in this last year. Not that I intentionally meant to do such a thing. But, in looking back over this recent time, I have to admit I was getting kinda cocky in that I was quick to put down predictions which were not supported by a PR. As the PRs dwendled down in number, I became more and more convinced that the quakes would become easier and easier to predict and, hence, saving lives would become much more of a reality. But the Turkey quakes caught me totally by surprise and this EQ business hasn't been quite the same for me since.

Looking back, it is clear to me now that they marked a change. But what was or is the change? A friend said to me in August 1992; "You know, you should be writing this all down. You have convinced me that you do sense earthquakes in advance, but to be sure, you should start writing it all down." So I did. My primary document of all "sensed" EQs, PRs and SPs now exceeds 17,000 lines. Divide that number in half and you have almost the number of matched EQs to PRs and/or SPs. Almost because there are still PRs and SPs to be matched across the eight areas. Subtrack out 1992 and 1993, which could not be matched because the areas had not yet been defined, and we are still talking thousands of quakes matching up in accordance with rules revealed in those early years.

Then came August 1999 and Turkey's first quake killing thousands while I thought TL was out of critical...and the world safe. Then came Taiwan and the same thing happening in September. Then the 7.5 in Mexico at the end of September. Then the second Turkey quake in November and then, hitting very close to home; Joshua Tree. Enough to make this old lady cry and eventually eat humble pie. Each quake did have a PR to match up with, but, at the time, the PRs were hiden by previous matches which were wrong. Not that God was wrong. I was.

If this wasn't confusing enough, my sensitivity began to under go a change as well and I am still confused by it. I think if safe to say that I am no longer sensitive to 5.0-5.7 in TL and, while this reduces my workload, I have no idea what it means.

I needed to share that.

And, Lucinda, are you still out there? You have been on my mind of late and I feel a concern. Please check in here or by e-mail.

Diane

P.S. I have had no recent volcanic symptoms except for a brief hit on the left side top of my head last night which came without much pressure associated with it.