Re: two questions
Posted by EQF on December 30, 2003 at 20:34:42:

As I stated in another note, my own technology has now reached the point where I am generally happy with it. And I have concluded that it is now important to try to deal with the Earthquake Forecasting Politics which appear to me to be effectively blocking international efforts to develop reliable earthquake forecasting programs.

When you are dealing with catastrophic natural disasters such as earthquakes, major organizations such as the U.S. government need to do some research of their own and also go looking for potentially valuable developments being made by other groups and researchers. That is not happening in my opinion. In fact I would say that here in the U.S. much of the organized activity appears to me to be aimed at ignoring or even blocking such research efforts through public criticism and intimidation of the researchers when that will work or through whatever other means are available. I myself don’t encounter too many problems as I maintain a low profile and try to avoid doing anything that the “authorities” would consider threatening to their interests. So they just ignore me.

Regarding technical matters, the following Web pages contain lists of the times when I myself detected earthquake warning type signals.

http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/133.html

http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/132.html

I have developed two computer routines called “Wave Charts” and “Earthquake Data Fingerprints” for linking the signals with earthquakes. The Wave Charts which are based on 30 day earthquake triggering cycles should be easy to understand. The Earthquake Data Fingerprints which are based on roughly 25 hour earthquake triggering cycles are more difficult to explain. But as I said, anyone who has done well in his or her high school physics course should be able understand the subject matter.

I do have an earthquake advisory active at this time for a particular area in rastern Europe or western Asia. Appropriate parties were been sent details yesterday.

Right now I am spending most of my time trying to get the research moving along instead of actually forecasting earthquakes. I don’t have time to do both. And that is unfortunate. With more analysis time I might have been able to generate an accurate location for that Iran earthquake before it occurred.

In early November I circulated a warning based on a signal which appears to have been pointing to where that destructive California earthquake occurred. No one asked for additional data so I never sent anyone precise location information. That is unfortunate. Several lives were lost. But, that’s the way things are with earthquake forecasting politics.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: two questions - Don in Hollister  23:15:51 - 12/30/2003  (20761)  (2)
        ● negative credibility - chris in suburbia  20:20:19 - 12/31/2003  (20787)  (0)
        ● Re: Earthquake warning data - EQF  03:00:51 - 12/31/2003  (20772)  (1)
           ● Re: Earthquake warning data - Don in Hollister  10:48:40 - 12/31/2003  (20779)  (0)