Re: Prediction - South Central, CA - A Hit
Posted by Petra Challus on December 25, 2003 at 10:08:53:

Hi All,

The following earthquake I am declaring as a match to my ear tone of last night and I will demonstrate for you why it is. For more than a year Don in Hollister and I determined that the distance from me to an epicenter when counting ear tones was 37.5 miles per second. Little more than a year ago I found someone who performed exactly the way I do. So this is not isolated to me only.

Magnitude 4.6 - local magnitude (ML) Time Thursday, December 25, 2003 at 3:49:50 AM (PST)
Thursday, December 25, 2003 at 11:49:50 (UTC) Distance from Santa Maria, CA - 186 km (115 miles) W (265 degrees)
San Jose City Hall, CA - 290 km (180 miles) S (190 degrees)
Coordinates 34 deg. 46.5 min. N (34.775N), 122 deg. 27.5 min. W (122.458W) Depth 40 km (24.9 miles)
http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/recenteqs/Quakes/at00000100.htm

I could not exactly, determine if my ear tone began to trail at 7 seconds or 8, but that only leaves a 37.5 mile differential between me and the epicenter, ie: 37.5 X 7 = 262 miles. As you will see below this earthquake arrived at 253 miles from me, which would be as follows: 253 divided by 37.5 = 6.74, which means in counting I was off by 1/4 to 1.25.
Distance Calculation Results
Distance between 38.44n 122.50w and 34.77n 122.45w is
253.8659 statute miles
http://jan.ucc.nau.edu/~cvm/latlongdist.html

Fortunately I was very close on the magnitude range, which has been one of my problems. And the good news too is that it arrived just shy of 11 hours after the ear tone.

Using the coordinates for the quake near Vandenberg AFB from yesterdays quake, this is the distance calculation:

Distance Calculation Results
Distance between 38.44n 122.50w and 34.77n 120.51w is
276.8366 statute miles
276 divided by 37.5 = 7.36 ear tone seconds (1/3rd of a second above 7 )

The bad news is that I never expected the earthquake to arrive off-shore, so in my selecting possible locations I picked Lompoc as one of those and in looking at it from my stated city, this ear tone without explaining the math would be a miss.

I cannot explain why ear tones travel at 37.5 miles per second. God knows I've asked everyone. So I will leave this up to the viewer to decide if they think this ear tone earthquake prediction has any merits. I do believe it does, but do acknowledge it is not perfect and the reason it isn't is because, I, the person who decides what goes where am not perfect. I have never heard the sound this quake delivered in advance, nor do I know which fault it arrived on, or the geology of the area, but now I will go back and learn and if another quake arrives in this area in the relative near future, I will have memorized the sound. That's how ear tones work.

I would like to encourage anyone who has ear tones to try using this method on their own. If you find that you have the same results as I do, please contact me and join my group of ear tone researchers. And if there is anyone out there who can explain why ear tones travel at 37.5 miles per second, clue me in, please.

Petra



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Prediction - South Central, CA - A Hit - Donald Boon  10:31:17 - 12/25/2003  (20677)  (0)