Posted by EQF on December 13, 2003 at 14:59:50:
I believe that it is generally accepted by knowledgeable earthquake researchers that multiple limited accuracy forecasts can be combined in order to generate a single high accuracy forecast. And the important word there is “multiple.” I don’t give orders to evacuate cities. I simply try to provide the people who are responsible for that with information which they can use in order to make the necessary decisions. Also, disaster mitigation groups don’t need to know exactly when and where an earthquake will occur. Just knowing that they need to get ready for one can save them some response time. And with luck, saved response time can be translated into saved lives.
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