Re: UC Berkeley Seismological Labs
Posted by Don in Hollister on November 13, 2003 at 02:19:38:

Hi EQF. I have to agree with you on the combination bit, but when a person looks at any kind of data they are not familiar with they are not going to mess with it until they can see that it works. I have gone that route a few times in my lifetime. I tried to use the data given me only to have it fail and then be told that I didn’t use it right and yet at the same time the person with the data never demonstrated that it worked. What am I to conclude from that? Did I use it wrong, or was it something that didn’t work no matter who used it. I have tried to use your data, but when I did you told me I was wrong, yet you never offered to show me how it works, even though I have asked you a number of times to teach me.

The thing that I have learned about data is that when it is used in a chart form the person making the chart can make it show anything they want to. I’m not saying this is what you are doing, or have done, but it is always suspect.

Your reluctance to make a prediction before a quake occurs makes the data you have suspect. If indeed you are able to do as you claim you might have a better chance of getting your point across if you made your predictions public and before the quake.

I know a number of seismologists and the ones I have talked to that know about you from the material you have sent them say you are beating a dead horse with the moon/sun bit. If they don’t believe the moon/sun bit to start with then why would they want to use what you have without you first demonstrating that it works? You say it works. The burden of proof lies with you. You have to prove it. They don’t have to disprove it. It’s a method I’m not in total agreement with, but never the less that is what you will to do in order for you to have your data accepted. There are no short cuts. You have to take the same route that 1000s before you have taken.

I hope that one day you will make your predictions public as nothing will give me greater pleasure then to have you prove me wrong when I say you can’t predict earthquakes with any degree of accuracy to be of any use. Do it soon please, as my time here is getting short. Take Care…Don in creepy town