EQF Hello,

Before reading your latest message I had prepared the following message which may partly answer the question you've raised. I've written:

Thank you for informative response to my message. I’m certainly interested in information on this part of the world and will, as you suggested, try contacting you through your web site. Otherwise, I have been in touch with Shan and will make further contact with him. If you have visited his site in the past two days you will have noticed his prediction of a 5+ quake on the India-Myanmar border and one around 4 in the Delhi region.

As far as Nair’s predictions are concerned, I didn’t want to discuss them on account of confidentiality but because I don’t yet know enough to explain them properly or to enter into any kind of polemical debate with experts like you. However, on the basis of your response, I think I can say that you are mainly right abut his method. However, perhaps because he has been at it for so long he is rather like the old and experienced physician who can tell a great deal about a patient with a pulse reading. For some time, his instrument has been giving him trouble and he seems to tune into the earth’s electromagnetic changes unaided. If you say this has something to do with the pull of the sun and moon, no doubt you’re right. But this didn’t prevent him from being super accurate with the Kutch quake on January 26, 2001. He went to the press with his prediction 3 weeks in advance. No doubt it was easier in Kutch in the sense that he lives there and has spent decades studying the area. But I’d just like you to know that he made a personal prediction to me on May 22nd that within a week that would a moderate quake (he said “6 or less”) on the India-China border. On May 27th such an event occurred (it was 5.1) and it happened to be only 70 miles to the east of where I now am in the Himalayan foothills. In the meantime, my associate in London had informed the BBC so that it went on record. The BBC has acknowledged the accuracy of the prediction but it seems not to have been a big enough event for them to have taken action. Perhaps for you too a prediction like this is not very significant but because I’m new to the field it seemed important to me as it did to my London associate.

Nair’s main problem is being cut off from most of the world. It’s not merely that he doesn’t know what’s happening in China, he has no access to the net and to the work of people like you and Shan. At the same time he says that with relatively little money and the aid of an engineer he can build an instrument that will enable predictions, at least for India, within an adequate time frame.

I hope I’m not repeating what you already know. Also, it’s not that I’m exclusively hang up on Nair’s work. I’m certainly going to look further at what Shan is doing.

Juliet