Hi Canie,

Yes, the probability factor is high for that area, but its high for the entire region, not just Hollister.

However, most people who have ear tones have a significant problem with the "when" factor. Though they can frequently get the magnitude fairly close and the location down, as to when it might happen leaves a lot to be desired. The reason for this of course is because when people hear ear tones they feel like the event is going to happen right now. I am quite certain this is why animals run away as much as two weeks in advance of earthquakes, because they too perceive a sense of urgency.

As I've kept records over the years I have noticed that the quakes I hear north of me happen far sooner than the one's I hear south of me, most of the time. I've had as little notice as 45 minutes, so it gets rather complex.

One thing for sure, there will always be more earthquakes and thus more ear tones, so to get it down to this narrow margin is quite a feat. I'm still learning all the time and experience is the best teacher of all.

This event was simply for demonstration purposes. People could say I just guessed, but I didn't. It also demonstrates the range of my hearing abilities. Not unlike anyone else who uses a circular radius from them, you have to discern what magntiude size quake fits with the ear tone. If you know your limits as to how far you can hear a 2.5, then if you have an ear tone that is low in volume, but lasts 6 seconds, its not likely to be a 2.5 quake, but something far larger. You see?

While some people can use my method and match what I do exactly, they are very few in number. I'm kind of disappointed in that as it would have been wonderful to discover the answer to the question was universal. Ear tones are universal, but the subjects are quite uniquely different.

Maybe soon there will be something a little less random and the next prediction can be something a little more interesting.

Petra