Re: 5.6 Quake Rattles Southern Greece
Posted by Petra Challus on December 04, 2002 at 18:49:13:

Hi EQF,

I am always glad to hear of some success, even if it only occurs occasionaly as it keeps the interest in any matter alive. However, what I am about to say, please know that I say it as a friend, not a foe.

Practice makes perfect, practice makes perfect, practice makes perfect, right?

For the sake of our viewing audience of which some I think may not all have been around the prediction wheel yet, the defining formula for successful prediction is very simple, "repeated results." What anyone has needs to work better than 70% of the time and 85% to 90% is more in the ball park. So, take what you have, this one shining moment, you've got it cataloged no doubt and now add a whole bunch more to it.

Start a new year today with this data and carry every event you add onto it, to this time next year. See what progress you've made, how many events were correct, how many weren't? That will show you whether your program works or doesn't.

Document every single issue to a finite degree and sit on those warnings until you've got a solid year of 85% or better. When you can achieve that, believe me, they'll come a knocking at your door to find out what you've got. You won't have to tell them, they'll be asking you instead. Wouldn't that be fun? Yeah!

In the words of Colin Powell, "There are no secrets to success. It is the result of preparation, hard work, and learning from failure."

Petra :-)