Re: EQF Could You Please Explain
Posted by Don In Hollister on October 24, 2002 at 14:55:38:

Hi EQF. Most likely the reason very few people have showed any interest in your program is that you haven’t given a public demonstration that it works, or how it works. You are going to have to do this more then once and it’s going to have to be consistent.

I can assure you no one is going to put any time, effort, or money into a computer program until they can see that what you have works. People are funny that way.

When I first started receiving the data that I was using to predict quakes I was very skeptic at first. One of the first things I noticed was that not once did I ever receive any data for past quakes. All of it was for future quakes. I had many questions and received an answer to each an every question I asked and then some. When I was given permission to go public using the data there were three stipulations. One, that I not disclose what the data was. Two, not to disclose where the data came from. No problem there. I didn’t know where it came from. Three. Not to ask for any help, as I was to do this on my own.

Before each prediction I made I would do a background check on past activity for the predicted area. For this I used data from USGS, NEIC, NCSN and NOAA as well as a couple of other places. I even used some data Canie gave to me and narrowed it down to one of 3 places. One of those places came in with the correct date and magnitude. I must admit that without her input I would have never chosen any of those places, as they were areas that didn’t have much data for past quakes.

To get the response your looking for you are going to have to go public. You are going to have to make your predictions before the fact and in plain view for everyone to see. You will make some good ones and you will make some bad ones. You can only hope that you make more good ones then bad ones. Take Care…Don in creepy town


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     ● Re: EQF Could You Please Explain - EQF  22:07:30 - 10/24/2002  (17150)  (0)