Re: A test for you. Unaccepting Of Failure
Posted by Roger Hunter on October 07, 2002 at 19:06:21:

Petra;

How's this?

Here's a quiz for you; which set of windows is better, A or B?

In each case, a "." marks a day without quakes, a"*" is a quake
and the "^^^^^" is a prediction window. There are 60 days in the
time period and 60 quakes total. Each set has 5 predictions for
"a quake in the 5 day window".



Set A
*
* *
* * **
* * * * * **
* * * * * * * * * ** *
*.*..*.*.**.***..*.**.*.**.*********.*....*..*..***...**.*.*
^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^
Set A has 13 of 60 quakes in its' windows.


Set B
*
* *
* * **
* * * * * **
* * * * * * * * * ** *
*.*..*.*.**.***..*.**.*.**.*********.*....*..*..***...**.*.*
^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^
Set B has 34 of 60 quakes in its' windows.


Roger