This is most of the text of a report which I posted a short time ago to a number of Internet Newsgroups including sci.geo.earthquakes.

ATTN: Programmers Re: Forecasting earthquakes

It appears that as a group, the people who would be the most interested in working on this project are computer programmers. However, geologists, physicists, and radio enthusiasts could help if they wished.

This effort involves developing a specific type of computer program which I believe has the potential to revolutionize the science of earthquake geophysics. It will also hopefully enable us to begin developing effective earthquake forecasting programs. The following is part of the present plan for getting that computer program developed.

My data indicate that one way to forecast earthquakes is to compare certain types of data related to some earthquake precursors with similar data for past earthquakes. When good data matches are found it indicates that another earthquake might be about to occur where the earlier one occurred. The high quality data needed for this approach to forecasting are not presently available anywhere as far as I can tell. Computer programs capable of generating them need to be developed.

STEP 1. Groups of earthquakes which have specific types of properties will be evaluated in order to determine exactly how they were triggered. The computer programs which I am presently using should be able to produce sufficiently accurate data to show which earthquakes should be studied. Geophysicists will probably need to be involved with this step. I myself am not a geology professional.

STEP 2. Once it is known how those earthquakes were triggered the information will be used to develop one or more computer programs capable of generating the types of data which would be needed in order to compare earthquake precursors with past earthquakes.

STEP 3. Different types of earthquake precursors such as radio wave signals and seismic data will be tested to see which ones will work with the new computer programs. This step can actually be done at any time. The data which my present programs are generating should be good enough to tell if a given earthquake precursor will work with these proposed programs. Short duration signals (less than 5 minutes) would be the easiest to use. However ones lasting for hours or even days might also work if appropriate points in time in them can be identified such as a distinct signal intensity peaks.

At the moment I am involved with preparation work for this project. The computer programs may be developed with a language such as PERL at one or more presently running Web sites. Computer programmers and other people interested in the effort could develop and submit program modules which might improve the accuracy and versatility of the original program. I already have the source code for probably one of the most important programs which would be used in the effort. It generates ocean tide and Solid Earth Tide data. I also have another important program which shows were the sun and the moon are in the sky at specific times. I do not presently have the source code for that program.

This work is being done during my free time. And it would be difficult for me to propose how rapidly it will evolve. The effort could also begin moving in a different direction or even be cancelled at any time.