Re: Earthquake forecasting advance and the Papua New Guinea earthquake
Posted by Don In Hollister on September 13, 2002 at 22:57:06:

Hi Petra. Here in the Hollister area you can’t find a home that doesn’t have cracks in them somewhere. Most of the streets and sidewalks have cracks in them and new one are appearing all the time.

The same thing can be said for San Juan Bautista, Gilroy, Morgan Hill, San Martin, Bitterwater, Los Gatos, Campbell just to name a few places.

In the Hollister area the cracks didn’t appear until after 1929. That was when the Calaveras fault started moving and has been moving ever since.

The brick house we lived in in Morgan Hill when I was just a little wet nosed kid had a wall that was moving towards the outside until my dad braced it. The antique store next to us was also made of brink and had a crack down the wall that kept getting bigger every year. According to my father all of this started taking place in 1933. The largest quake to center in the area was on Aug.6, 1979. It was an M>5.9 in the Coyote Lake area. That is the area of the Calaveras fault. This quake could be the start of a new cycle that was seen before the 1906 quake, as this was the first strong quake in the area since 1906.

The strongest quake to date in the area was the Loma Prieta quake of 1989. I have been assured that it wasn’t the big one. That one is still yet to occur.

I’m going to have to see something more then just fresh cracks in foundations. I have been seeing them all mine life starting in 1939. We waited 40 years for the first strong quake to center near us with enough energy to do some damage.

There were a couple of more quakes on the Calaveras fault before the Loma Prieta quake.
Cracks in foundations just don’t cut it. They can be caused by anything. Take Care…Don in creepy town


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Earthquake forecasting advance and the Papua New Guinea earthquake - EQF  11:14:54 - 9/14/2002  (16708)  (0)