That particular report very briefly mentions quite a few different forces etc. which could in theory be involved with earthquake triggering. Site visitors are invited to propose others which I might have missed. If at some point in time someone decides to publish a technical paper listing those types of theories then he or she can try to determine who should get credit for being the first to propose each of them. I expect that it would be a rather lengthy paper.

EARTHQUAKE AND EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR TIME CYCLES

The following drawing will probably be visible in this EarthWaves report for just a few weeks. After that I plan to remove the linked GIF file from my Web site. The original drawing should still be visible in the Earthquake triggering, Earthquake precursor, and Earthquake sensitivity related report which is already stored there.

The top trace in that drawing proposes that in an island area the moon gravity could be viewed as having an effect on earthquake precursor signal generation and earthquake triggering which operates on a roughly 25 hour cycle. Precursor signals were generated at the times of the first two crests in that cycle. And the earthquake occurred at the time of the third crest.

The middle trace shows that in that same area, ocean tide height could be viewed as having an effect which operates on a roughly 12 hour cycle. Two precursor signals were generated when there were ocean tide crests in the area.

Unfortunately, what I and some other earthquake forecasters often have to work with is that bottom trace which is a combination of the top two. And it is sufficiently confusing that it can be difficult to determine what is controlling the occurrence time of a given precursor signal or earthquake.

What that proposed computer program would do is enable us to resolve traces like that bottom one into their more easily recognized components. And that should then make forecasting earthquakes easier.

This is not simply a theoretical concept. The computer programs which I am presently using already enable me to break traces like that into their separate components to a certain extent. But the programs are limited in their accuracy and are quite complex and difficult to use.