On May 28, 2002 I circulated an earthquake forecasting related report to perhaps 100 of the top scientists around the world who are interested in relationships between the sun and moon gravity and the Earth’s crust. Some copies were even sent to USGS personnel.

My report stated that I feel that we could be a single computer program away from being able to forecast many of our destructive earthquakes. It was probably seen by a number of people who post notes to this bulletin board. And I am guessing that it was responsible for this present thread. It discussed topics which I have commented on in notes which I posted here in the past. And I did not feel that I needed to go over the material again. If anyone wishes to see a copy of the report then they can try contacting me for one. Use the e-mail address at my FreeWebz.com Web site.

With my forecasting program I compare precursors with past earthquakes and try to identify matches. And to make those comparisons I use data which I believe indirectly indicate how fault zones around the world are being bent, stretched, and compressed at the times when the precursors are detected and when the earthquakes occur. I stated in my report that I am presently using sun, moon, ocean tide crest and trough, and Solid Earth Tide crest and trough location types of data to determine what might be happening in fault zones. And I asked if anyone knew of a better way of determining how fault zones are being bent, stretched, and compressed at given points in time.

There are only two scientists whom I know about who are doing this type of research. One is in Czechoslovakia and the other is in Greece. I keep hearing that Dr. Jim Berkland is also interested in this type of research. But I have never seen any technical reports describing exactly what he is doing. So I was not really expecting to receive any answers to my question. My report was intended to a certain degree to be a type of progress report.

At the present time I am comparing precursors with earthquakes, one at a time. That takes too long. And not enough comparisons can be made. Those routines need to be built into a computer program which would be much faster and effective. Additionally, I feel that a computer program needs to be created which can tell us at any point in time how fault zones around the world are being bent, stretched, and compressed. I believe that if such a program were available then it might be used to compare a number of different types of earthquake precursor data with earthquakes and enable us to forecast many of our earthquakes. My report also stated that I expect that for such a program to work it would probably need to consider both ocean tide and Solid Earth Tide related effects at the same time.

A number of scientists who were sent copies of that report have been helpful in the past. Several have already responded. And I am expecting to eventually receive a few more responses. However, as I stated earlier, it appears that few people are doing any research in this area. Feedback that I have received in the past indicates to me that some or perhaps many of the people who were sent copies of the report are waiting to see what type of progress I myself am making.

Finally, this is just one approach to forecasting earthquakes. There are others.

These are my personal opinions.