Don,
I'm not sure what you mean by "none of the individual earthquakes have happened".
As I recall quite a number of events have occurred which were within the parameters
of your forecasts. You can look through the previous posts and find these. To say that
implies your forecasts have not been good and that is a misstatement.
Furthermore, none of your forecast events for the region were above Ml 4 - the only
mention of a larger event was in the general introduction where you noted you thought
one of these (without specifying which one) might be in the 6+ range. Did your data
actually show that or was this just a "gut" feeling on your part. In other words, if we
have confidence in your data, does the M6+ statement come from your data or from
your personal experience/feelings about this or are the two separate?