On May 4, Don posted a forecast for an event off the coast of Oregon.
At the time I reminded Don of the Ml 4.8 that had just occurred and
Suggested a second such event seemed unlikely at this time. Well, Don
Stuck with his forecast, and seems I was wrong again. NEIS is reporting
A Mb 4.0 slightly to the west of Don's expected epicenter this afternoon.
There is normally an error in the NEIS determined locations for events
In this region as the arrangement of local seismographs tends to make
Events look about 50-60 km closer to shore than they really are.
Don's forecast was for an event of M 3-4 at 44.6N 129.9W on May
8, 2002 +/- 2 days and 35 km.

Todays earthquake (NEIS parameters) was at

O: 07MAY2002 20:36:48 44.3N 128.9W Ml 4.0 Off Coast of Oregon

Certainly a hit in time and magnitude, and most probably as close as could
Be expected in location, given the uncertainties in the NEIS locations as
Explained above. I'd say another HIT Don. Good going.

Don's Original forecast is below and at the following URL:

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/15474.html

Salem, Oregon Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on May 04, 2002 at 22:55:24:

Magnitude: 3.0-4.0
From: 05/06/2002UTC - To: 05/10/2002UTC
Location: Salem, Oregon
Lat: 44.6N - Long: 129.9W - Range: 35Km

Hi All. I figured if California could have a 4.0+ off its coast then why not Oregon.

Looking for a 3.0 to 4.0 quake at 44.6N/129.9W. This is about 520Km west of Salem, Oregon.

Should occur on 05/08/2002. The window will open on 05/06/2002 and will close on 05/10/2002.

The radius for this will be 35Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town