Posted by Lowell on May 06, 2002 at 17:37:20:
Hi Folks, I've only got a minute, but wanted to check in and Congratulate Don on his latest successful forecast. Don had Forecast and event to occur in northern North Island, New Zealand of Ml 3-4 on May 2-6 at 38S 177E. GNS has Just released the following announcement of a felt earthquake Today in that area: http://www.gns.cri.nz/news/earthquakes/index.html
2002 May 6 10:22 NZ Standard Time: 2002 May 6 10:22 p.m. Latitude, Longitude: 38.26°S 176.44°E Focal Depth: 5 km Richter Magnitude: 2.9 20 km south-east of Rotorua May have been felt in the Rotorua-Tarawera area This earthquake matches all the parameters of Don's forecast - Within the time window, within 65 km (barely) and within The magnitude range (I always give credit for +/- 0.1 unit of Magnitude since determined magnitudes easily vary by that Much for the same event. Congratulations, Don on another HIT!! Don's original forecast is below or at this URL: http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/15226.html Whakatane, New Zealand Earthquake Forecast (3.0-4.0) Posted by Don In Hollister on April 25, 2002 at 18:56:02: Magnitude: 3.0-4.0 From: 05/02/2002UTC - To: 05/06/2002UTC Location: whakatane, New Zealand Lat: 38.0S - Long: 177.1E - Range: 65Km Hi All. Have my passport all in order. I hope. Looking for a 3.0 to 4.0 quake at 38.0S/177.1E. This is about 10Km SE of Whakatane, New Zealand. Hope I pronounced that right. Should occur on 05/04/2002. The window will open on 05/02/2002 and will close on 05/06/2002. The radius for this will be 65Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town
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