Petra takes the lead in the SFB contest
Posted by Lowell on April 26, 2002 at 07:28:51:

NCSN is reporting the following earthquake this morning:

26APR2002 11:01:26 39.04N 123.12W Depth=5.1 ML=3. 5 14 km SSE of Ukiah, CA

This event falls within the bounds of the San Francisco Bay contest. A single forecast
For an event in this region had been made. That prediction made by Petra was for an
Event of Ml>3 within 45 km of 39.06N 122.82W within the period 21 April to 27 April.
This event is a "hit" on all parameters for Petra's prediction. Therefore Petra takes the
Lead from Cathryn in the contest. But there are still two days to go.
Maybe you will be blowing your own whistle, Petra?

Petra's Original prediction:

San Francisco Bay Area Contest Forecast #1 And #2
Posted by Petra Challus on April 20, 2002 at 10:12:26:

Hi All,

To make things a little easier, I thought I'd post both of my forecasts on one post.

#1
Clear Lake, CA
39.06N -122.82W
45km

#2
Bodega Bay, CA
38.33N -123.04W
45km

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/15062.html


Follow Ups:
     ● NEIS now says M 3.8 for Petra's earthquake - Lowell  16:35:55 - 4/26/2002  (15239)  (1)
        ● Re: NEIS now says M 3.8 for Petra's earthquake - Don In Hollister  17:51:47 - 4/26/2002  (15240)  (1)
           ● Re: NEIS now says M 3.8 for Petra's earthquake - Cathryn  19:51:27 - 4/26/2002  (15248)  (0)