Hi all;

here are the results of the tax day contest. This is a doctored
data file, created by adding Lowell's suggested quakes to the
CNSS search.

If we go by the contest rules, Carol wins.

If we assume that CNSS would eventually get the quakes, Don would
win (had he entered).

Petra's possible quakes must have been over 500km from her predicted
area, so no joy there.

Roger

 1   Carol .
2002/4 /14 - 2002/4 /16 37.8   -122.6  2.5 9.9 50 Prob.4.10%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
   DATE       TIME        LAT      LON     MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/04/14 11:36:57.33  37.5982 -122.4497         26.0  62.8%
2002/04/14 17:19:00.94  37.5495 -118.8008 2.68   335.2  94.4%
2002/04/14 23:01:40.68  38.8035 -122.7853 2.74   112.7  40.2%
2002/04/15 22:57:00.89  38.8450 -122.8105 3.41   117.5  46.1%
2002/04/16 10:15:31.44  37.0263 -117.9660 2.91   417.8  98.5%

There are no perfect fits for this prediction.

 Best date 2002/04/15 22:57:00.89  38.8450 -122.8105 3.41      .50
 Best dist 2002/04/14 11:36:57.33  37.5982 -122.4497         26.02
 Best size 2002/04/15 22:57:00.89  38.8450 -122.8105 3.41     3.41
 Best prob 2002/04/14 23:01:40.68  38.8035 -122.7853 2.74    40.230%

 2   Carol .
2002/4 /14 - 2002/4 /16 33.26  -116.35 2.5 9.9 50 Prob.19.5%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
   DATE       TIME        LAT      LON     MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/04/14 17:19:00.94  37.5495 -118.8008 2.68   525.6  99.1%
2002/04/16 10:15:31.44  37.0263 -117.9660 2.91   443.4  98.0%

There are no perfect fits for this prediction.

 Best date 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44  37.0263 -117.9660 2.91      .50
 Best dist 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44  37.0263 -117.9660 2.91   443.42
 Best size 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44  37.0263 -117.9660 2.91     2.91
 Best prob 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44  37.0263 -117.9660 2.91    98.030%

 3   Cathryn .
2002/4 /14 - 2002/4 /16 17.436 -64.53  4.6 6   120 Prob..164%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
None found.

 4    Cathryn .
2002/4 /14 - 2002/4 /16 33.666 -95.54762   3   60 Prob.0%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
None found.

 5    Petra Challus
2002/4 /14 - 2002/4 /16 37.69  -91.8   1.2 2.2 166.7 Prob..164%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
None found.

 6    Petra Challus
2002/4 /14 - 2002/4 /16 33.4   -94.2   1.2 2.2 166.7 Prob.0%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
None found.

 7     Don (Unofficial)
2002/4 /11 - 2002/4 /15 -39    174.3   3   4   65 Prob.8.74%

The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
   DATE       TIME        LAT      LON     MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/04/16 10:15:31.44 -38.9     174.7660 3.5     41.8  28.2%

There are no perfect fits for this prediction.

 Best date 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44 -38.9     174.7660 3.5      2.50
 Best dist 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44 -38.9     174.7660 3.5     41.77
 Best size 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44 -38.9     174.7660 3.5      3.50
 Best prob 2002/04/16 10:15:31.44 -38.9     174.7660 3.5     28.261%