One more look at Don's forecast for Poland
Posted by Lowell on April 10, 2002 at 20:47:13:

NEIS has finalized the data for the Poland earthquake of April 6.
The data can be found at the QED listing at:
http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/neis/qed/qed.html

In this instance the determined hypocenter is:


O: 06APR2002 19:16:21 51.6N 16.1E ML = 4.0 POLAND

You may recall that Don had forecast an event for Poland with the following parameters:

F: 07APR2002 +/-2days 51.7N 16.1E Ml 3.0-4.0 Poland (within 65 km)

The determined epicenter is less than 15 km from the forecast, in the middle of the time
Window and at the upper end of the forecast magnitude range. A good forecast
In my book.