April contest - one more time!
Posted by Roger Hunter on April 08, 2002 at 19:14:56:

All right folks;

here we go again. See if this looks reasonable.


1 . Canie
2002/3 /27 - 2002/4 /6 36.08 -117.62 4.5 9.9 40 Prob.1.20%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/25 00:12:04.85 37.4838 -118.6658 181.6 100%
2002/03/25 15:36:56.27 37.1855 -122.1337 420.7 100%
2002/03/25 19:51:23.59 37.1972 -122.0908 417.4 100%
2002/03/27 07:21:30.77 37.8073 -121.9565 430.2 100%
2002/03/27 07:22:35.83 37.8135 -121.9705 431.6 100%
2002/03/27 08:39:19.94 37.8447 -122.0058 435.8 100%
2002/03/30 15:51:12.37 37.8097 -121.9918 433.1 100%
2002/03/30 16:59:11.96 38.1275 -118.6418 244.8 100%
2002/04/01 10:54:29.87 37.4667 -118.8145 187.2 100%
2002/04/01 16:13:55.95 35.9578 -120.5128 260.3 100%
2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 411.0 100%
2002/04/01 18:21:28.29 37.3965 -118.8332 181.8 100%
2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 121.1 100%
2002/04/03 09:15:05.65 37.3600 -121.7242 392.1 100%
2002/04/03 09:30:42.56 37.1217 -121.5357 367.9 100%
2002/04/03 15:12:08.69 36.7833 -121.7542 377.7 100%
2002/04/04 18:09:28.37 37.5083 -118.6735 184.3 100%
2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.20 211.0 26.5%


There are no perfect fits for this prediction.


Best date 2002/04/01 10:54:29.87 37.4667 -118.8145 .5
Best dist 2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 121.1297
Best size 2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.20 4.2
Best prob 2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.2026.5%


2 . Canie
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 33.33 -115.7 4.5 9.9 50 Prob.0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/25 00:12:04.85 37.4838 -118.6658 533.9 100%
2002/03/26 15:03:47.56 30.2440 -113.8300 4.40 385.6 19.5%
2002/03/27 11:12:59.53 30.3120 -113.9150 375.2 100%
2002/03/27 11:18:04.40 30.1380 -114.0700 4.70 386.6 9.96%
2002/04/01 10:54:29.87 37.4667 -118.8145 539.2 100%
2002/04/01 16:13:55.95 35.9578 -120.5128 527.9 100%
2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 74.6 100%
2002/04/01 18:21:28.29 37.3965 -118.8332 533.5 100%
2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 339.3 100%
2002/04/04 18:09:28.37 37.5083 -118.6735 536.5 100%
2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.20 143.1 6.51%


There are no perfect fits for this prediction.


Best date 2002/04/04 18:09:28.37 37.5083 -118.6735 .5
Best dist 2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 74.557265
Best size 2002/03/27 11:18:04.40 30.1380 -114.0700 4.70 4.7
Best prob 2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.206.51%


3 . Cathryn
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 46.3 -74.2 2 3.5 80 Prob..383%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


4 . Don
2002/3 /29 - 2002/4 /2 -40.2 176.6 3 4.2 65 Prob.13.3%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 22.4 15.0%
2002/03/26 07:24:06.50 -37.7900 176.3800 268.4 83.0%
2002/03/26 10:58:51.80 -36.9200 177.8400 380.0 88.2%
2002/03/27 04:20:33.70 -37.0500 177.9700 4.00 369.6 66.6%
2002/03/27 14:39:31.40 -41.5800 173.9500 3.80 270.2 59.5%
2002/03/28 09:00:31.40 -42.0400 174.0400 4.00 296.1 62.5%


There are no perfect fits for this prediction.


Best date 2002/03/28 09:00:31.40 -42.0400 174.0400 4.00 3.5
Best dist 2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 22.43516
Best size 2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 4.7
Best prob 2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.7015.0%


5 . Don
2002/4 /2 - 2002/4 /6 33.6 -12.6 3.5 4.5 65 Prob..273%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


6 . Kate
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /4 47.44 -122.69 3 4.2 35 Prob.1.96%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


7 . Petra
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 62.5 -114.4 1.8 3.5 80 Prob.0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


8 . Petra
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 23 109 3.8 4.9 80 Prob.0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


Petra, Revilla Gigedo Islands are over 380 km away from your predicted area. Too far to accept.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Roger, just to make you lose your last hair... - Cathryn  09:04:55 - 4/11/2002  (14760)  (2)
        ● Re: Roger, just to make you lose your last hair... - Lowell  12:26:37 - 4/11/2002  (14764)  (1)
           ● Re: Roger, just to make you lose your last hair... - Cathryn  16:26:36 - 4/11/2002  (14767)  (0)
        ● Re: Roger, just to make you lose your last hair... - Roger Hunter  10:18:55 - 4/11/2002  (14761)  (1)
           ● Re: Roger, just to make you lose your last hair... - Cathryn  16:26:08 - 4/11/2002  (14766)  (0)
     ● Re: April contest - one more time! - Lowell  21:00:35 - 4/8/2002  (14732)  (0)
     ● Re: April contest - Drat N/T - Petra Challus  20:24:10 - 4/8/2002  (14730)  (0)