Bug fix on April comtest
Posted by Roger Hunter on April 08, 2002 at 16:00:25:

Hi all;

Here's a rerun on the April contest. The previous post was wrong.
It had quakes in it from a previous run or two which didn't belong.

That's fixed now. I've added a listing of "perfect fit" quakes (if any).

Don's best quake still isn't in the file. Don't know why.


1 Canie
2002/3 /27 - 2002/4 /6 36.08 -117.62 4.5 9.9 40 Prob.1.20%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/25 00:12:04.85 37.4838 -118.6658 181.6 13.8%
2002/03/25 15:36:56.27 37.1855 -122.1337 420.7 38.5%
2002/03/25 19:51:23.59 37.1972 -122.0908 417.4 38.5%
2002/03/27 07:21:30.77 37.8073 -121.9565 430.2 39.1%
2002/03/27 07:22:35.83 37.8135 -121.9705 431.6 39.1%
2002/03/27 08:39:19.94 37.8447 -122.0058 435.8 39.1%
2002/03/30 15:51:12.37 37.8097 -121.9918 433.1 39.1%
2002/03/30 16:59:11.96 38.1275 -118.6418 244.8 29.5%
2002/04/01 10:54:29.87 37.4667 -118.8145 187.2 14.4%
2002/04/01 16:13:55.95 35.9578 -120.5128 260.3 30.1%
2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 411.0 38.5%
2002/04/01 18:21:28.29 37.3965 -118.8332 181.8 13.8%
2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 121.1 4.81%
2002/04/03 09:15:05.65 37.3600 -121.7242 392.1 36.7%
2002/04/03 09:30:42.56 37.1217 -121.5357 367.9 34.9%
2002/04/03 15:12:08.69 36.7833 -121.7542 377.7 35.5%
2002/04/04 18:09:28.37 37.5083 -118.6735 184.3 14.4%
2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.20 211.0 26.5%


There are no perfect fits for this prediction.


Best date 2002/04/01 10:54:29.87 37.4667 -118.8145 .5
Best dist 2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 121.1297
Best size 2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.20 4.2
Best prob 2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 4.81%


2 Canie
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 33.33 -115.7 4.5 9.9 50 Prob.0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/25 00:12:04.85 37.4838 -118.6658 533.9 26.4%
2002/03/26 15:03:47.56 30.2440 -113.8300 4.40 385.6 19.5%
2002/03/27 11:12:59.53 30.3120 -113.9150 375.2 18.7%
2002/03/27 11:18:04.40 30.1380 -114.0700 4.70 386.6 9.96%
2002/04/01 10:54:29.87 37.4667 -118.8145 539.2 26.4%
2002/04/01 16:13:55.95 35.9578 -120.5128 527.9 26.0%
2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 74.6 1.53%
2002/04/01 18:21:28.29 37.3965 -118.8332 533.5 26.4%
2002/04/02 09:20:52.82 35.2857 -118.5395 339.3 14.9%
2002/04/04 18:09:28.37 37.5083 -118.6735 536.5 26.4%
2002/04/05 08:02:55.23 34.5200 -116.2935 4.20 143.1 6.51%


There are no perfect fits for this prediction.


Best date 2002/04/04 18:09:28.37 37.5083 -118.6735 .5
Best dist 2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 74.557265
Best size 2002/03/27 11:18:04.40 30.1380 -114.0700 4.70 4.7
Best prob 2002/04/01 17:40:43.95 32.6742 -115.8698 0.00 1.53%


3 Cathryn
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 46.3 -74.2 2 3.5 80 Prob..383%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


4 Don
2002/3 /29 - 2002/4 /2 -40.2 176.6 3 4.2 65 Prob.13.3%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 22.4 15.0%
2002/03/26 07:24:06.50 -37.7900 176.3800 268.4 70.4%
2002/03/26 10:58:51.80 -36.9200 177.8400 380.0 80.3%
2002/03/27 04:20:33.70 -37.0500 177.9700 4.00 369.6 66.6%
2002/03/27 14:39:31.40 -41.5800 173.9500 3.80 270.2 59.5%
2002/03/28 09:00:31.40 -42.0400 174.0400 4.00 296.1 62.5%


There are no perfect fits for this prediction.


Best date 2002/03/28 09:00:31.40 -42.0400 174.0400 4.00 3.5
Best dist 2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 22.43516
Best size 2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 4.7
Best prob 2002/03/26 05:22:50.30 -40.3800 176.4800 4.70 15.0%


5 Don
2002/4 /2 - 2002/4 /6 33.6 -12.6 3.5 4.5 65 Prob..273%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


6 Kate
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /4 47.44 -122.69 3 4.2 35 Prob.1.96%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


7 Petra
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 62.5 -114.4 1.8 3.5 80 Prob.0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


8 Petra
2002/4 /1 - 2002/4 /7 23 109 3.8 4.9 80 Prob.0%


The following quakes match the prediction to some degree.
DATE TIME LAT LON MAG DIST(km) PROB.
None found.


Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Ignore this one too....still wrong - Roger Hunter  18:44:41 - 4/8/2002  (14726)  (0)