Re: Roger Question About Evaluations
Posted by Roger Hunter on April 03, 2002 at 08:07:15:

Petra;

The purpose in evaluation is to evaluate the prediction as it is made.

Don's prediction was for a 35 km radius circle. Anything inside the circle would be a hit so giving extra credit if it happens to be closer to the center isn't fair.

Suppose he used a 1000 km circle. Many quakes would fit, guaranteeing a hit. Should he get credit for a better prediction if the closest was 10 km?

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Roger Question About Evaluations - Lowell  10:16:20 - 4/3/2002  (14550)  (1)
        ● Re: Thanks Roger & Lowell - Petra Challus  17:59:35 - 4/3/2002  (14556)  (0)