Re: Far-Field Aftershock forecast from north-central Chile Mw 6.5
Posted by 2cents on April 02, 2002 at 14:43:32:

Lowell

Good Points.

Since the bar seemed to be lower on the USGS pub. (with the 100% probability and all) it seems reasonable to present the FFA results in the same context...that is as a theoretical development with lots of room for it to not pan out.

This would be the safer route as you have aptly pointed out the amount of debris in the road for those who travel this path. However, your daily summaries (and others' efforts too it appears) appear to be effectively broadcasting a lot of the information anyway.

You may just be right about this forum in what it may/has produce(d).

.02

p.s. (I know the ring(map) angles for each ring can be derived from a historical database of global earthquakes as one (first) approach....).