On March 8, Don forecast an event in the Pakistan/Hindu Kush region. This was followed
By a forecast by Shan for the same region made on March 14. Following is a comparison
Of those forecasts with the event of March 18, 2002.

Don also came mighty close on his Chitral Pakistan forecast. He had said:

F: 17MAR2002 +/- 2 days 36.4N 71.6E Ml 3.8-5.1 Chitral, Pakistan (within 65 km)

The following earthquake was reported:

O: 18Mar2002 07:03:18 36.3N 70.5E ML=4.0 ASC HINDU KUSH, AFGHANISTAN

This event matches Don's time and magnitude window and is about 65 km to the west
Of his forecast epicenter (just within the limit). Another successful forecast.

A forecast for this region was also made by Shan. See:

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13695.html

That forecast had been:

F: 15MAR2002 +/- 1 days 36.3N 70.0E Ml 4.5-5.0 Hindu Kush Region (within 150 km)

The recorded event is 2 days outside Shan's time window, and smaller than expected. It
Is closer to Shan's forecast epicenter (about 35 km) than to Don's however. When two
Forecasts are made for the same time and location, the first always is considered original, the
Second is usually considered a modificaton of the first.

Don's original forecast:

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13508.html

Chitral, Pakistan Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on March 08, 2002 at 02:17:29:

Magnitude: 3.8-5.0Ml
From: 03/15/2002UTC - To: 03/19/2002
Location: Chitral, Pakistan
Lat: 36.4N - Long: 71.6E - Range: 65Km

Hi All. Looking for a 3.8 to 5.0 quake at 36.4N/71.6E. This is about 65Km NNW of Chitral, Pakistan. Should occur on
03/17/2002.

Should occur on 03/17/2002. The window will open on 03/15/2002 and will close on 03/19/2002.

The radius on this is 65Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town