Re: Evaluation question
Posted by Don In Hollister on March 11, 2002 at 19:56:42:

Hi Roger. I don’t think it would be a waste of time. It will show the area of the forecast that is weak. In my case I already know the weak area, or at least I think I do. That is the magnitude. I know what the answer is, but I don’t know where or how to find it. I know it’s not on the web, or I would have already found it.

I do have some partial answer in the creep, dilational and tensor strain data from USGS. I have used it to forecast 7 quakes for the SJB area and 1 for the Parkfield area. None for the rest. I have learned though that the strain build up with the crustal deformation data is not a reliable indicator of the magnitude of the expected quake. Thank You for the complement. Take Care…Don in creepy town


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Evaluation question - Roger Hunter  05:41:52 - 3/12/2002  (13596)  (2)
        ● Re: Evaluation question - michael  16:49:00 - 3/12/2002  (13619)  (1)
           ● Re: Evaluation question - Roger Hunter  19:15:31 - 3/12/2002  (13628)  (1)
              ● Re: Evaluation question - michael  16:52:09 - 3/13/2002  (13676)  (1)
                 ● Re: Evaluation question - Roger Hunter  17:36:10 - 3/13/2002  (13679)  (1)
                    ● Re: Evaluation question - michael  10:59:13 - 3/14/2002  (13719)  (1)
                       ● Re: Evaluation question - Roger Hunter  14:45:30 - 3/14/2002  (13728)  (1)
                          ● Re: Evaluation question - michael  20:25:45 - 3/14/2002  (13738)  (0)
        ● Re: Evaluation question - Don In Hollister  10:58:53 - 3/12/2002  (13604)  (0)