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The First Tornado Forecast
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Posted by Don In Hollister on February 19, 2002 at 16:17:36:
Hi All. I know this has nothing to do with earthquakes, but thought it might be interesting to know the thinking of those who made the first official tornado forecast. Could it be that the same mode of thinking exists today in regards to the forecasting of a major earthquake. Lowell, like it or not you are a part of this. Step to the front and take your kudos. You have earned them. Thank You…Don in creepy town In the evening of March 25, 1948, a tornado roared through Tinker Air Force Base (AFB), Oklahoma, causing considerable damage, a few injuries, but no fatalities. However, the destruction could have been much worse. A few hours earlier, Air Force Captain Robert C. Miller and Major Ernest J. Fawbush correctly predicted that atmospheric conditions were ripe for tornadoes in the vicinity of Tinker AFB. The swirling funnel left $6 million dollars in damage, $4 million less than the first storm, which had occurred only five days earlier. The first tornado forecast was instrumental in advancing the nation's commitment to protecting the American public and military resources from the dangers caused by natural hazards. The Events Leading Up to the Forecast Miller and Fawbush made this historic forecast with some reservation. Until March 25, 1948, tornadoes had not been forecast and many in the science community were uncertain that storms that developed so quickly and with such force could be forecast in advance.
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