Lets see - how about:

1: Surprise? UPE (UnPredictedEarthquke)? or UE? or UF (UnForecasted)

2: MISS - A forecast was made but no corresponding earthquake occurred

3: Obvious - A forecast completely describes a subsequent earthquake and the odds of random success are greater than 1 in 4(?) - 1 in 1-4

4: C Hit - (close hit) A forecast was made and an earthquake occurred which partially matched
the forecast parameters and the odds of occurrence were less than 1 in 5

5: AAA Hit - A forecast completely describes a subsequent earthquake and the odds of random success are less than 1 in 5(?) ie- 1 in 6-##

Now that we're going thru all this it seems we've been down this road before.... I wonder if we can ever get agreement on this?

Canie