Hi Bob. I'm not looking at patterns. The pattern that I spoke of was that there were times it appeared that in some geographical areas the quakes appeared to occur early while in other areas it would be late. However after watching them for a short period of time that doesn't seem to be the case.

Some months ago I asked Lowell if he knew what my percentage of correct forecasts was. He told it was somewhere between 90% and 95% correct. I suspect it is lower then that now. Early on I was keeping track of my hits and misses, but I found that by doing that I was concentrating on getting only hits, or on ones that I was reasonably sure would be correct. When I first started using the data I used a 6-day window. I now have it down to 5 days. I use a 40Km radius for quakes in the U.S. and a 65Km radius for quakes outside the U.S.

The data I'm using is still in the testing stages and because of this I can't say what it is. The data gives me the time and location, but not the magnitude. The magnitude of a forecasted quake depends upon the amount of stress that has built up and at present time there is no reliable way of knowing how much that is.

Earthwaves is the only board I use to post my forecasts, as it is the only board set up for that purpose.

I'm sorry I can't give you anymore information then this, but hope you will understand. Take Care…Don in creepy town