PROTON STORM/GEOMAGNETIC STORM TO END TONIGHT/ SEISMICITY UP IN U.S./CANADA

SUMMARY

SOLAR/GEOMAGNETIC/SEISMIC RELATIONS

The proton storm which has been in progress since November 4 is
nearing completion. It should approach background towards the
end of the day (November 7). The geomagnetic storm which occurred
yesterday is also completed. This may be followed tomorrow by
increased seismicity, with large events likely on November 10-12.
A M5.6 solar flare maximized at exactly local noon in California
and was in progress when a Ml 3.3 earthquake occurred near
Burney, No. California. This was the largest earthquake to have
occurred in California since the Ml 5.1 in Anza, southern California
on October 30. That event had also been closely related to a moderate
M3.2 class solar flare which and had occurred within minutes of
local midnight. Today's M5.6 solar flare was the largest M-class
flare since the M3.2 associated with the Anza earthquake on October
30 (PST). One X1.0 flare has occurred in the intervening period -
at 16:03 on Oct. 4. That flare was not associated with an immediate
light to moderate earthquake in the California region.
An event was recorded in Afghanistan about 10 minutes after today's
Burney quake. Afghanistan was near local midnight at the time of
that event (no magnitude yet assigned).

SEISMIC QUIESCENCE BROKEN IN U.S./CANADA AREAS

Quiet seismicity periods were broken in four areas of the
U.S./Canada today with a Ml 3.3 in Northern California, a Ml 2.1
in Washington state and a Ml 2.8 in British Colombia, Canada and
a Ml 3.3 (yesterday) and Ml 2.9 (today) in southern Idaho and
southwestern Wyoming - these were the largest events in these
regions in more than two months.

GLOBAL

It was another relatively quiet day in global seismicity today.
As yesterday, the largest events again occurred in the region
of South America with a Mb 5.3 in southern Bolivia. Since the
last report the Vanuatu/Santa Cruz Islands have also become active
with events of Mb 5.1 and 4.2 in the Central Vanuatu Islands
and of Mb 4.5 in the Santa Cruz Is. region. Light activity
(no given magnitudes) continued in the Kashmir/Afghanistan/Pakistan
area. It is not yet known whether these are natural or artificial
events (bombs).
The most unusual earthquakes of the day occurred in eastern
Siberia (Mb 4.7). Only two earthquakes have ever been recorded
within 100 km of the Siberia epicenter with Mb>=4.7 - one on Jan 23, 2000
(Mb 5.6) and the other on Aug. 15, 1995 (Mb 4.7). The other
unusual event occurred in the Tyrrhenian Sea west of Italy. This
earthquake of Mb 4.6 was one of only three events that have
ever been recorded within 100 km of this epicenter with Ml>=4.6.
The others also occurred recently with a Mb 4.8 on March 3, 2001 and
a Mb 5.1 on April 26, 2000.

U.S./CANADA

Quiet seismicity periods were broken in four areas of the
U.S./Canada today with a Ml 3.3 in Northern California, a Ml 2.1
in Washington state and a Ml 2.8 in British Colombia, Canada.
The largest event in the California/Nevada region since the Ml 5.1
earthquake of Oct 31 (UT) near Anza occurred today near Burney in
northern California. A Ml 3.2 had occurred in Yucca Valley on Nov. 3.
Also the first earthquake of Ml>=2 in the northwest as recorded by
PNSN since OCtober 28 (when a Ml 2.3 was recorded near Carnation, WA)
occurred near Morton, WA (Ml 2.1). The Ml 3.3 near Caribou City
Idaho yesterday was the largest event since August 23 in the southern
Idaho area. This was followed today by a Ml 2.9 near Kelly, WY,
the largest event in that area since a Ml 3.2 on September 3, 2001.
The first FELT earthquake in western Canada in more than two weeks
also occurred today in the Ft. St. John area (Ml 2.8).
No earthquakes of Ml>=3 were observed in either Alaska or
Hawaii today.

NEW ZEALAND

A second Ml 3.7 earthquake was registered by IGNS today near
Kaikoura, South Island. Otherwise, the on-line seismogram
showed only light to moderate regional activity over the past
24 hours.

The IGNS on-line Seismometer can be found at:
http://www.gns.cri.nz/news/earthquakes/latest_drum.html

GEOMAGNETIC/SOLAR FIELDS

The proton storm which began on Nov. 4 should be completed by
the end of the day (November 7). The geomagnetic field has returned
to quiet conditions after the strong geomagnetic storm that
began yesterday. Stronger seismicity from that storm is expected
Nov. 10-12.
A strong M-Class flare occurred this afternoon with the following
parameters:

Flare # START MAX END CLASS

1850 + 1930 2001 2026 M5.7

Weaker M-class flares also occurred at:

1570 + 0139 0146 0152 M1.1
1600 + 0437 0444 0450 M1.4
1670 + 0927 0933 0939 M2.0

Flare 1850 (M5.7) maximized at local noon in California and was
coicidental with a Ml 3.3 earthquake near Burney, CA, the largest
event in the California/Nevada region in more than a week. That
event occurred at 19:39 UT (11:39 PST). The Burney area often
shows seismicity associated with solar and geomagnetic activity.
Seismicity is expected to increase within 20 degrees longitude
of 120W by up to 0.5 magnitude units (20% rate increase)
for the next 24 hours because of effects from this M5.7 flare.
Associated with flare # 1600 was a Ml 2.0 near Tres Pinos, CA
and coincidental with flare # 1670 there was a Mb 4.3 in recorded
in the Fiji Islands.

For general space weather conditions see:
http://sec.noaa.gov/today.html
For Solar flare data see:
http://sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/events/20010831events.txt

TROPICAL STORMS

No tropical storms were affecting the North Atlantic, North
or Central America or the Eastern Pacific ocean today.

Tropical Storm Lingling triggered floods north of Mindanao, Philippines,
today. At least 11 were known dead. For a news story see:

http://abcnews.go.com/wire/World/ap20011107_144.html

For a public advisory see:

http://www.wunderground.com/auto/HurricaneSite/tropical/wp200101.public.html

An earthquake of Mb 4.2 was recorded in central Luzon, Philippines
as Lingling rolled through the region. This is the largest earthquake
in Luzon in more than 7 weeks since a Mb 4.8 on September 18, 2001.

TIDAL TRIGGERING (LUNAR)

Statistics have been done on many regions of the world in terms of
relationship of significant regional earthquakes with respect to lunar cycle.
Each report will summarize the most likely areas for tidal triggering
for the next day based on these statistics. It is expected
that tidal triggering will add an additional 0.5 - 1.0 units of
magnitude to events which are about to occur or will move these
events forward in time by up to seven days in the regions where
there is a statistical correlation between lunar phase and
earthquakes.

November 8 is twenty-three days after the beginning the lunar month
Regions most likely to experience tidal triggering
on this day (With associated magnitude ranges; the percent change in
seismicity rate over background seismicity rate on this
day of the lunar month; statistical z-value and
significance level) are:

Region Magnitude range %change z-value Significance level

Caribbean MB>=4.0 22 2.4 0.04
Central California MB>=0.0 32 2.1 0.05
Central California MB>=2.0 11 2.9 0.02
Central California MB>=3.0 23 2.9 0.02
Mammoth Lakes MB>=0.0 56 2.5 0.04
San Andreas MB>=0.0 14 2.4 0.04
San Andreas MB>=3.0 38 2.7 0.02
So Asia MB>=4.0 50 3.6 0.01
Canada MB>=2.0 26 2.2 0.05

Regions expected to experience reverse triggering (i.e. they are
unlikely to experience a significant event at this period of the
lunar cycle) are:

Region Magnitude range %change z-value Significance level

No Regions

EARTHQUAKE LISTINGS

GLOBAL

NEW ZEALAND

O: 7Nov2001 08:09 42.5S 173.8E ML=3.6 IGNS E of Kaikoura, N.Z.

SOUTH PACIFIC ISLANDS

O: 07Nov2001 07:34:07 15.7S 168.1E MB=5.1 NEIS VANUATU ISLANDS
O: 06Nov2001 17:38:39 14.6S 167.4E MB=4.2 NEIS VANUATU ISLANDS

O: 06Nov2001 17:31:21 11.8S 166.8E MB=4.5 NEIS SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS

O: 06Nov2001 13:09:31 21.3S 170.3E MB=4.6 NEIS SE OF LOYALTY ISLANDS

O: 07Nov2001 04:25:20 17.5S 177.5W MB=4.0 NEIS FIJI ISLANDS REGION
O: 07Nov2001 02:26:54 16.8S 178.5W MB=3.7 NEIS FIJI ISLANDS REGION

O: 07Nov2001 09:40:00 21.1S 178.7W MB=4.3 NEIS FIJI ISLANDS REGION
O: 06Nov2001 16:54:56 22.6S 178.8W MB=3.5 NEIS SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS

ASIA

O: 06Nov2001 22:30:05 27.4N 142.0E MB=4.9 NEIS BONIN ISL, JAPAN REGION

O: 06Nov2001 19:57:53 15.6N 121.0E MB=4.2 NEIS LUZON, PHILIPPINES

O: 07Nov2001 13:21:07 58.2N 148.7E MB=4.7 NEIS EASTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA

CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA

O: 07Nov2001 13:25:53 21.0S 67.9W MB=5.3 NEIS SOUTHERN BOLIVIA

O: 06Nov2001 20:15:16 21.2S 70.4W MB=4.6 NEIS NEAR COAST OF N CHILE
O: 06NOV2001 20:15:16 21.2S 70.4W ML=4.7 DGF W of PUNTA CHIPANA, CHILE

O: 07NOV2001 17:27:26 18.4S 69.5W ML>4.0 DGF SE of ZAPAHUIRA, CHILE

O: 07NOV2001 00:32:50 11.1N 85.7W MC=3.7 SIS NICARAGUA, C.A.

O: 07NOV2001 06:31:56 8.7N 85.5W MC=4.5 SIS NICARAGUA, C.A.

O: 07NOV2001 00:33:00 10.8N 85.3W MC=3.7 CASC COSTA RICA, C.A.

O: 07NOV2001 06:32:05 9.6N 85.8W MC=4.3 CASC COSTA RICA, C.A.

O: 06NOV2001 16:29:01 16.4N 99.6W ML=3.9 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX

O: 07NOV2001 13:54:31 17.0N 100.2W ML=4.4 SSN GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 15:32:12 17.0N 100.2W ML=3.7 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 15:16:17 17.0N 100.1W ML=3.9 SSN GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 15:01:06 17.0N 100.2W ML=3.8 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 13:01:32 16.9N 100.2W ML=3.5 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 02:59:59 17.0N 100.1W ML=3.9 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 02:51:52 17.0N 100.2W ML=3.5 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX
O: 06NOV2001 02:41:44 17.0N 100.2W ML=3.7 SSN COSTA DE GUERRERO, MX

EUROPE

O: 07NOV2001 05:01:22 35.6N 21.9E ML=3.9 NOA CRETE AREA, GREECE

O: 07Nov2001 09:40:43 41.4N 10.1E MB=4.6 NEIS TYRRHENIAN SEA

U.S/CANADA

CALIFORNIA/NEVADA

O: 7NOV2001 7:59:33 35.9N 121.5W ML=2.8 SCSN SSE of Lopez Point, CA

O: 07NOV2001 8:45:40 34.1N 116.4W ML=2.0 SCSN NNE of Yucca Valley, CA

O: 07NOV2001 15:21:43 35.6N 119.0W ML=2.0 SCSN N of Bakersfield, CA

O: 7NOV2001 4:54:51 36.7N 121.3W ML=2.0 NCSN SSE of Tres Pinos, CA

O: 07NOV2001 20:40:47 37.0N 121.6W ML=1.6 NCSN WSW of Gilroy, CA

O: 7NOV2001 5:59:54 37.4N 118.5W ML=1.7 NCSN NW of Bishop, CA

O: 07NOV2001 17:16:24 37.5N 119.4W ML=2.2 NCSN SSE of Yosemite Village, CA

O: 07NOV2001 18:49:22 38.4N 122.3W ML=2.1 NCSN ENE of Yountville, CA

O: 07NOV2001 20:00:14 40.9N 121.6W ML=2.3 NCSN ESE of Burney, CA
O: 07NOV2001 19:39:01 40.9N 121.6W ML=3.3 NCSN ESE of Burney, CA

PACIFIC NORTHWEST/CANADA

O: 07NOV2001 10:16:48 56.3N 120.9W ML=2.8 PGC FELT N Ft. St. John BC

O: 06NOV2001 10:19:49 54.0N 132.4W ML=1.4 PGC WSW Massett BC

O: 06NOV2001 17:00:42 58.2N 137.4W ML=2.8 PGC SW Haines AK
O: 06NOV2001 04:09:06 60.8N 138.2W ML=2.4 PGC W Haines Jct. YT

O: 07NOV2001 18:49:33 46.4N 122.5W ML=1.4 PNSN SW of Morton, WA
O: 07NOV2001 12:54:40 46.4N 122.5W ML=2.1 PNSN SW of Morton, WA

O: 7NOV2001 6:14:34 47.7N 120.1W ML=1.5 PNSN ENE of Entiat, WA

O: 7NOV2001 1:54:39 47.6N 122.3W ML=1.3 PNSN W of Bellevue, WA

ROCKY MOUNTAIN AREA

O: 06NOV2001 08:35:57 43.1N 111.2W ML=3.3 USBR NE of Caribou City, , MT
O: 06NOV2001 10:36:48 43.4N 110.7W ML=2.1 USBR SSE of Jackson, WY, MT
O: 07NOV2001 06:31:49 43.5N 110.1W ML=2.9 USBR ESE of Kelly, WY, MT
O: 07NOV2001 07:29:16 43.3N 110.7W ML=2.1 USBR NW of Hoback Jct, WY, MT

O: 05NOV2001 23:51:56 44.4N 110.7W ML=1.8 UUSN W of West Thumb, WY
O: 05NOV2001 10:40:59 44.7N 110.8W ML=1.5 UUSN WNW of Norris Junc., WY
O: 5NOV2001 5:09:38 44.8N 111.0W ML=1.8 UUSN NE of W. Yellowstone, MT
O: 5NOV2001 4:00:12 44.8N 111.0W ML=2.1 UUSN NE of W. Yellowstone, MT

O: 5NOV2001 2:57:45 44.9N 111.5W ML=2.0 UUSN NW of W. Yellowstone, MT
O: 5NOV2001 2:57:45 44.9N 111.5W ML=2.0 UUSN NW of W. Yellowstone, MT
O: 5NOV2001 2:56:05 44.9N 111.5W ML=2.9 UUSN NW of W. Yellowstone, MT
O: 5NOV2001 2:53:42 44.9N 111.4W ML=2.6 UUSN NW of W. Yellowstone, MT
O: 04NOV2001 21:15:37 44.9N 111.5W ML=2.5 UUSN NW of W. Yellowstone, MT
O: 04NOV2001 21:10:01 44.9N 111.4W ML=2.2 UUSN NW of W. Yellowstone, MT

EASTERN U.S./CANADA

O: 06NOV2001 20:09:37 47.8N 69.8W MN=1.7 GSC CHARLEVOIX SEISMIC ZONE, QUE.