Posted by Roger Hunter on October 30, 2013 at 15:42:19:
Amit; Could there be errors in math and statistics? No. Could there be errors in the data being fed to the math? Absolutely. That's why I want my table to accurately represent what you predicted and I am finding errors when comparing the table to your archived predictions. Plus the archive does not have the 2006-2008 prediction. The odds of 5 out of 10 beating you is impossible to state because the odds on a hit are 0.2955. The answer depends on the number of predictions and hits and the curve is not symmetrical. It's harder to beat chance when the odds on success are low. Roger
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