Roger
I will put it in layman term
Suppose I predict 100 dates for 6+ quakes ,with + or - 0.3 mag window and + or - one day time window,how many hits do I need to just equal odds? ( as per your calculations)
AND
After how many runs on your computer for random dates ,you get equal hits? 1000,2000 or 10000 ? You dis not reply this.
Question is , whether it is possible,in principle, to cross the odds suggested by you?
Amit