06-03-2015, 10:19 AM
I disagree about whether predicting a M8 but not its location is useful. If someone can short-term predict quakes in a very significant way, then it is interesting because it says something about what triggers quakes, or if no trigger, how they occur. You may have to learn this before you, in 100 years, are able to also occasionally predict location also. So, if Duffy succeeds in predicting quakes, then it says something is happening before the quake, and that could lead to some instrumentation to measure whatever it is in different critical areas. I'm not saying Duffy is predicting quakes: it seems a longshot, but unlike many others, he has a scientific approach.
Chris
Chris