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07-20-2015, 03:25 PM
Hi Brian,
Thanks for the welcome, though I hadn't really gone anywhere, I've been busy working the problem and felt I had nothing positive to add to the site until now.
I appreciate the info on the quake statistics, but it wasn't really necessary for my benefit, like yourself, I check the quake sites 3 or 4 times daily so I'm familiar with magnitude frequency's (pardon the punt). Thats why I decided to include a radial distance in my prediction, 5+'s are less frequent around the UK compared to other active regions, and including a 72 hour window narrows it down considerably more.
To be honest with you, I've based this prediction on pattern recognition from previous data as mentioned earlier, but at this stage it could quite easily be anything from a 7 in Antarctica, to an 8 hour session of Game of thrones from my neighbour's Xbox.
Time will tell !.
Duffy
Thanks for the welcome, though I hadn't really gone anywhere, I've been busy working the problem and felt I had nothing positive to add to the site until now.
I appreciate the info on the quake statistics, but it wasn't really necessary for my benefit, like yourself, I check the quake sites 3 or 4 times daily so I'm familiar with magnitude frequency's (pardon the punt). Thats why I decided to include a radial distance in my prediction, 5+'s are less frequent around the UK compared to other active regions, and including a 72 hour window narrows it down considerably more.
To be honest with you, I've based this prediction on pattern recognition from previous data as mentioned earlier, but at this stage it could quite easily be anything from a 7 in Antarctica, to an 8 hour session of Game of thrones from my neighbour's Xbox.
Time will tell !.
Duffy