Logout 
Portal 
Forum
Search
Members
Help 
06-07-2014, 11:57 AM
Roger,
I think your math is wrong. You have "52*6 days which is 312/365 "
But it is 6 days per month, not 6 days per week, so should be 12*6=72,
and odds should be 72/365.25
But, first post from you in a long time, so Hello.
Chris
[quote='Roger Hunter' pid='313' dateline='1401928017']
Well, new/full moons happen every 2 weeks. 36 hours is 1.5 days or 3 days in all (+/-) so those windows are 52*6 days which is 312/365 so the odds on a hit are 0.855. Pretty hard to miss. He should have 545 hits, not 124.
I think your math is wrong. You have "52*6 days which is 312/365 "
But it is 6 days per month, not 6 days per week, so should be 12*6=72,
and odds should be 72/365.25
But, first post from you in a long time, so Hello.
Chris
[quote='Roger Hunter' pid='313' dateline='1401928017']
Well, new/full moons happen every 2 weeks. 36 hours is 1.5 days or 3 days in all (+/-) so those windows are 52*6 days which is 312/365 so the odds on a hit are 0.855. Pretty hard to miss. He should have 545 hits, not 124.