[Roger Hunter]

(01-25-2017, 11:57 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;

I know you said nobody is interested in mag 4's, but I ran a random selection in the name of curiosity, to see if they had the same connection as the 5's ... I was surprised at the results. here are a few that stood out most ...

20th Jan M 4.3 Guerrero, Mexico ... 98' W ................................................................................................. 07:32:46 ut
                      Transition of night to day at bearing 40' 19' W - 1' 23' S (4th Jan) occurred at ...................... 07:33 ut
                      Transition of day to night at bearing 171' 50' W - 20' 20' S (18th Jan) occurred at ................. 07:33 ut
                      Transition of night to day at bearing 49' 35' W - 21' 52' S (10th Jan) occurred at ................... 07:32 ut

20th Jan M 4.1 Kuril Islands ... 155' E ........................................................................................................ 08:06:40 ut
                      Sunset at bearing 149' 38' E - 5' 22' N (6th Jan) occurred at ................................................. 08:07 ut
                      Transition of day to night at bearing 163' 59' E - 18' 06' N (12th Jan) occurred at .................. 08:07 ut

21st Jan M 4.4 Off Coast of El Salvador ... 89' W ........................................................................................ 07:31:29 ut
                      Transition of night to day at bearing 40' 19' W - 1' 23' S (4th Jan) occurred at ....................... 07:32 ut
                      Transition of night to day at bearing 49' 35' W - 21' 52' S (10th Jan) occurred at .................... 07:31 ut

21st Jan M 4.6 Southern Iran ... 57' E ........................................................................................................ 08:23:12 ut
                      Transition of day to night at bearing 175' 50' E - 21' 07' S (15th Jan) occurred at ................... 08:24 ut
                       Sunset at bearing 156' 12' E - 22' 29' S (6th Jan) occurred at ............................................... 08:23 ut
                       Sunset at bearing 144' 11' E - 9' 04' N (15th Jan) occurred at ...............................................08:23 ut

21st Jan M 4.2 Coquimbo, Chile ... 71' W ................................................................................................... 17:03:55 ut
                      Sunset at bearing 25' 36' E - 22' 19' S (7th Jan) occurred at ................................................. 17:04 ut
                      Sunrise at bearing 171' 50' W - 20' 20' S (18th Jan) occurred at ............................................ 17:04 ut

22nd Jan M 4.7 San Juan, Argentina ... 68' W ............................................................................................. 02:50:36 ut
                      Transition of day to night at bearing 100' 51' W - 20' 23' S (18th Jan) occurred at .................. 02:50 ut
                      Transition of day to night at bearing 112' 06' W - 4' 08' N (6th Jan) occurred at ..................... 02:50 ut

I was thinking it might be probable that mag 4's could be chance hits, but the last one listed here had me reconsidering. At 02:51 ut on the 22nd, it is sunrise in Southern Iran on 61' E, and officially night at 02:52 ut in Moss Landing, Monterey Bay, CA.  I have predictions at both locations, and you can appreciate I cannot test 20 - 30 mag 4's a day for further connections.

Apologies for the wavy lines , I have been looking at Sea mounds on Google Earth all day again. My fingers are tired and I feel like I've joined the Navy !



Duffy

Duffy;

Of course you get more hits with mag 4 quakes; there are more of them.
The point is the hit/miss ratio and the probability of a hit.

I could do the whole year in a second if I could just understand exactly what you're doing.

PLEASE explain exactly what and why as simple as possible.

Roger