[Roger Hunter]

(12-22-2016, 03:53 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi Duffy

Quote:This post, like the event is old news.  I was just following up on what I had posted, I didn't have the slightest notion it would be accepted, so don't worry about it.  Technically speaking, there has not been a mag 5 quake in that region of Samar for 11 months.  So if you saw this from my point of view, an event occurs 19 days after I mentioned where there would be one, and again it is swept away in statistics.   Consequently, you end up with the wrong end of my frustration.

You are mistaken. The methods I use check the seismicity of your area as part of the evaluation process so your rare event would have received a high score.

Quote:I'm not concerned about a comprehensive list, statistical analysis " will " show I am wrong, which is OK.   I have come to terms with the fact that testing physics with geological science will never work.

Wrong again. All that's required here is that you are correct more often than chance would allow. Much more often; it's a tough test.

Quote: Movements of the plates will always produce earthquakes, that's guaranteed.  So called signals from anomalies are only as reliable as the energy detected from pre-seismic events. You may have multiple detection's, but it only needs one big event to suppress the energy in the remaining anomalies, thus consistency is very difficult to achieve ... something that will have little understanding here.   I recently posted a block of 25 predictions, I got the first eight in a row correct, the last being New Zealand.  The remaining produced no results, except for the 7.9 Solomon event, which according to Chris is a little out of the ordinary with regards the time period, of two other similar mag quakes.  Statistically, the numbers fail me, so it is akin to pulling numbers out of a hat. Scientifically, if I used the same method of detection for all predictions, why did the rest fail after the NZ event ?  Chance or no ... recent results in however light you wish to view them, show that I am beyond chasing transmitter towers or electrical sub stations.  As you said yourself, the only way I can accomplish anything here is to get most or all ... hope you mean that !

Oh I do mean that. I've been hoping to find someone who could do it, no matter what the method might be.

Quote:All the best

And the same to you. Remember, I'm not the enemy.

Roger