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10-10-2016, 02:43 AM
Thanks, Roger.
I'd like to add, I am very open to the possibility of quake prediction. As far a I know there is no data to show that it's impossible. Although, it may be a stochastic process - that is it may have some random variables that we cannot predict. In that case it may become like weather prediction. Right now we have 30 year forecasts. In the future we may have 10 year, 1 year, maybe 1 month forecasts. I'm sure of this because unless we stop doing seismology altogether, we will inherently get more data and information about how things work under our feet. We will have a better understanding and therefore be able to say more accurately what is going on.
Until there is some elegant solution that flat out says prediction is impossible, I feel it is a worthy area of study. Within reason, of course.
Brian
I'd like to add, I am very open to the possibility of quake prediction. As far a I know there is no data to show that it's impossible. Although, it may be a stochastic process - that is it may have some random variables that we cannot predict. In that case it may become like weather prediction. Right now we have 30 year forecasts. In the future we may have 10 year, 1 year, maybe 1 month forecasts. I'm sure of this because unless we stop doing seismology altogether, we will inherently get more data and information about how things work under our feet. We will have a better understanding and therefore be able to say more accurately what is going on.
Until there is some elegant solution that flat out says prediction is impossible, I feel it is a worthy area of study. Within reason, of course.
Brian