[Skywise]

(06-30-2014, 12:37 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote: Mag 6+ quakes get the expected number of hits. Mag 5 quakes get too few. It's easily seen looking at the big table.

What time span are you using to compute the probabilities?

How complete is the catalog over the time spans you're using for the smaller quakes?

If it's missing quakes, that might explain the missing hits.

Brian

[Roger Hunter]

(07-01-2014, 03:24 AM)Skywise Wrote: What time span are you using to compute the probabilities?

Neic 1973-2013

Quote:How complete is the catalog over the time spans you're using for the smaller quakes?

Pretty complete for 5+ in the US. I'm looking at the western US area

Quote:If it's missing quakes, that might explain the missing hits.

Don't think so. There are a LOT of 5s but way too many miss the targets. Something's going on but I don't know what.

Roger
Brian
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