Logout 
Portal 
Forum
Search
Members
Help 
08-20-2015, 06:27 PM
There is an interesting paragraph in the July 19 EOS (AGU) on page 9.
https://eos.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/...pdf?2845a2
article is called "Reality Check: Seismic hazard models you can trust"
by Kossobokov, Peresan, and Panza.
The paragraph reads:
"However, before earthquake hazard maps can be used for practical risk estimation, they must be based on sound Earth sciences. This includes rigorous testing against the available real seismic data to avoid the geophysical equivalent of medical malpractice. Overreliance on untested seismic hazard maps can cause a failure to predict risk levels accurately. Underpredicting earthquake risks can lead to fatalities and significant economic losses (Wyss et al., 2012). Overpredicting risks can drive investment in expensive and excessive safety measures."
Chris
https://eos.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/...pdf?2845a2
article is called "Reality Check: Seismic hazard models you can trust"
by Kossobokov, Peresan, and Panza.
The paragraph reads:
"However, before earthquake hazard maps can be used for practical risk estimation, they must be based on sound Earth sciences. This includes rigorous testing against the available real seismic data to avoid the geophysical equivalent of medical malpractice. Overreliance on untested seismic hazard maps can cause a failure to predict risk levels accurately. Underpredicting earthquake risks can lead to fatalities and significant economic losses (Wyss et al., 2012). Overpredicting risks can drive investment in expensive and excessive safety measures."
Chris