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+--- Thread: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 (/showthread.php?tid=681)
D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Duffy - 01-13-2017
Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
RE: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 01-14-2017
(01-13-2017, 07:46 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
Hi Duffy;
Some months ago you agreed to send me all your predictions in a spreadsheet format.
What happened?
How's the Manchester deal working out?
Roger
RE: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Duffy - 01-14-2017
(01-14-2017, 03:50 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-13-2017, 07:46 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
Hi Duffy;
Some months ago you agreed to send me all your predictions in a spreadsheet format.
What happened?
How's the Manchester deal working out?
Roger
Hi Roger;
I don't think I have anything worth the the trouble of analysis yet! most predictions are landing on longitude (on the right side of the Earth), but latitude is still hit and miss ... statistical analysis will show nothing.
I struck out with the Uni, my messages remained unanswered so I guess they gave up on me like they "all" do! ... except you. You have had a lot of experience dealing with people like me ... what drives you to continue, when others treat this subject like the plague ?
Duffy
RE: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 01-14-2017
(01-14-2017, 07:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:(01-14-2017, 03:50 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-13-2017, 07:46 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
Hi Duffy;
Some months ago you agreed to send me all your predictions in a spreadsheet format.
What happened?
How's the Manchester deal working out?
Roger
Hi Roger;
I don't think I have anything worth the the trouble of analysis yet! most predictions are landing on longitude (on the right side of the Earth), but latitude is still hit and miss ... statistical analysis will show nothing.
I struck out with the Uni, my messages remained unanswered so I guess they gave up on me like they "all" do! ... except you. You have had a lot of experience dealing with people like me ... what drives you to continue, when others treat this subject like the plague ?
Duffy
RE: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 01-14-2017
(01-14-2017, 11:37 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-14-2017, 07:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:(01-14-2017, 03:50 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-13-2017, 07:46 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
Hi Duffy;
Some months ago you agreed to send me all your predictions in a spreadsheet format.
What happened?
How's the Manchester deal working out?
Roger
Hi Roger;
I don't think I have anything worth the the trouble of analysis yet! most predictions are landing on longitude (on the right side of the Earth), but latitude is still hit and miss ... statistical analysis will show nothing.
I struck out with the Uni, my messages remained unanswered so I guess they gave up on me like they "all" do! ... except you. You have had a lot of experience dealing with people like me ... what drives you to continue, when others treat this subject like the plague ?
Duffy
Duffy;
You're a predictor, I'm the evaluator.
If you are consistently getting the right longitude, you're doing something right and I think it's worth investigating.
Sorry to hear Manchester backed out. Their loss, I hope. Send me the list and we'll see.
I keep doing this because I like it. I did it for the USGS and I was goaded into reviving the program later by predictors who thought they had something worth a look. Plus I like programming. It keeps my brain from rotting.
Send the list - please.
Roger
RE: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Duffy - 01-15-2017
(01-14-2017, 11:46 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-14-2017, 11:37 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-14-2017, 07:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:(01-14-2017, 03:50 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(01-13-2017, 07:46 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
Hi Duffy;
Some months ago you agreed to send me all your predictions in a spreadsheet format.
What happened?
How's the Manchester deal working out?
Roger
Hi Roger;
I don't think I have anything worth the the trouble of analysis yet! most predictions are landing on longitude (on the right side of the Earth), but latitude is still hit and miss ... statistical analysis will show nothing.
I struck out with the Uni, my messages remained unanswered so I guess they gave up on me like they "all" do! ... except you. You have had a lot of experience dealing with people like me ... what drives you to continue, when others treat this subject like the plague ?
Duffy
Duffy;
You're a predictor, I'm the evaluator.
If you are consistently getting the right longitude, you're doing something right and I think it's worth investigating.
Sorry to hear Manchester backed out. Their loss, I hope. Send me the list and we'll see.
I keep doing this because I like it. I did it for the USGS and I was goaded into reviving the program later by predictors who thought they had something worth a look. Plus I like programming. It keeps my brain from rotting.
Send the list - please.
Roger
Roger;
I've started compiling a list for you starting from September 2016, things improved a little in this month, so if there is anything worthy of further investigation, it will be from this point.
I was close to pulling the plug this time ... disillusionment you know !
Duffy
RE: D35 Hawaiian Islands 13 / 1 / 2017 - Duffy - 02-17-2017
(01-13-2017, 07:46 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 156' 0' W
Latitude ............. 20' 30' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 4.5 - 5.5
Location ............. Maui Channel, Hawaii
Start date ........... 19:46 ut 13th Jan
Expiry Date ......... 00:00 ut 13th Feb
Duffy
.................................................................
17th Feb 15:33:23 ut M 4.5 Maui Region, Hawaii ... 156' 01' W - 20' 12' N ...... Expired 4 days ago !
1st Dec 16:45 ut M 5.1 China .......... SR
2nd Dec 03:42 ut M 4.6 Chile .......... SS
5th Dec 15:30 ut M 4.7 Philippines ... DN
5th Dec 16:49 ut M 4.4 Chile ........... SR
8th Dec 17:00 ut M 4.6 Mexico ........ SR
12th Dec 05:06 ut M 4.8 New Zealand DK
14th Dec 05:06 ut M 4.9 Solomon's ... DK
24th Dec 03:51 ut M 5.8 P.N.G. ......... SS
6th Jan 05:18 ut M 4.4 China .......... DK
10th Jan 17:03 ut M 4.6 Indonesia .... SR
13th Jan 05:22 ut M 5.0 Indian Ocean DK
Data I used to compile this prediction, Abbreviations relate to Hawaii at the dates and times shown.
I don't do this here anymore !
Duffy (16:48 ut 17th Feb)