+- Earthwaves Earth Sciences Forum (http://www.earthwaves.org/forum)
+-- Forum: Earthwaves (http://www.earthwaves.org/forum/forumdisplay.php?fid=16)
+--- Forum: Earthquake Predictions (http://www.earthwaves.org/forum/forumdisplay.php?fid=8)
+--- Thread: 73% Probability for Predictions-High Level (/showthread.php?tid=499)
73% Probability for Predictions-High Level - Richter - 09-30-2016
Note:
The normal error about Date is +-24 Hours
The Hours can be uses for identification of earthquakes
The normal error about Location is Radius 300 km.
Time of forecasts - UT
Theoretical Probability of All forecasts-100%
Magnitude between M4.5 and M8
Theoretical Middle Magnitude: M6.3
==================================
Only for August and September 2016
26 forecasts, 19 Results,
Middle Error=13h 24m,
Middle Magnitude of Results = M4.1
New Prediction Method-High Level
Practice Probability: 73.1%
==========================================
The Results for August and September 2016:
DATE TIME-UT LOCATION RESULT ERROR / D,H,M /
August 6, 11h 28m northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M4.8, V. Mid-Atlantic Ridge, August 5, 17h 40m 17h 48m
August 7, 4h 21m Molucca Sea Not found ?
August 12, 9h 12m South Pacific Ocean М7.2, New Caledonia, ( S. Pacific ), August 12, 1h 26m 8h 46m
August 16, 6h 34 South Pacific Ocean Not found ?
August 18, 4h 42m Vanuatu M5.0, Fiji region, August 17, 22h 14m / near Vanuatu / 6h 28m
August 25, 2h 58m Santa Cruz Islands M5.0, New Caledonia, August 24, 14h 18m 8h 40m
August 26, 0h 0m near the north coast of Papua, Indonesia М5.2, August 26, Port Moresby, P. N. G, 15h 48m 15h 48m
August 26, 0h 1m Antofagasta, Chile M4.5, August 27, S. Canete, 20h 14m 20h 13m
August 26, 19h 27m off the west coast of northern Sumatra M4.7, August 26, Nic. Islands, India Region, 18h 20m 1h 07m
August 27, 4h 43m Ionian Sea M2.9, Ionian Sea, August 27, 3h 42mm 1h 01m
August 27, 10h 41m southern East Pacific Rise Not found ?
August 28, 12h 42m Egypt Not found ?
August 28, 8h 17m northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M5.0, August 28, Azores Islands region, 9h 55m 1h 38m
August 29, 3h 4m Kepulauan Mentawai region, Indonesia M4.6, August 29, Amahusu, Indonesia, 4h 04m 6h 08m
September 3, 10h 12m central East Pacific Rise M5.1, Sept.3, Hanga Roa, Chile, 10h 59m / M5.3, S. E.P.Rise, Sept. 5, 2h 35m 47m2d 7h 37m
September 5, 12h 0m Izu Islands, Japan region M4.6, Sept. 6, Nishinoomote, Japan, 17h 19m 1d 5h 19m
September 12, 23h 19m near the east coast of Honshu, Japan M4.6, Near East Coast of Honhu, Sept. 12, 23h 30mM5.2, Sept. 13, Near E.C of Homshu, Japan, 10h 12m 11m10h 53m
September 13, 5h 13m Komandorskiye Ostrova, Russia region M4.9, Sept.14, Novyy Uoyan, Russia, 3h 56m 25h 17m
September 21, 13h 34m Tonga M5.2, Sept.21, 5h 44m, Tonga 7h 50m
September 23, 18h 27m off the west coast of northern Sumatra M4.8, Sept.23, Nicobar Isl. India region, 22h 27m 12h 55m
September 24, 9h 32m southern East Pacific Rise Not found ?
September 24, 4h 24m Ionian Sea M3.5, Sept.24, Ionian Sea, 2h 54m 1h 30m
September 24, 22h 30m near the north coast of Papua, Indonesia M5.6, Papua Indonesia, Sept.24, 11h 04m 11h 26m
September 29, 2h 16m Samoa Islands region M5.3, Sept.29, Raoul Isl., 1h 34m, New Zealand 42m
September 30, 3h 36m near the east coast of Honshu, Japan M5.1, Sept.29, Off E.C. Honshu, 23h 21m 4h 15m
September 30, 13h 53m Antofagasta, Chile M3.4, Sept.30, Offshore Antofagasta Chile, 4h 26m 9h 30m
=====================================================================================================