+- Earthwaves Earth Sciences Forum (http://www.earthwaves.org/forum)
+-- Forum: Earthwaves (http://www.earthwaves.org/forum/forumdisplay.php?fid=16)
+--- Forum: Earthquake Predictions (http://www.earthwaves.org/forum/forumdisplay.php?fid=8)
+--- Thread: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 (/showthread.php?tid=744)
Pages:
1
2
P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Duffy - 04-03-2017
Longitude .......... 63' 02' E
Latitude ............. 25' 22' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 5 - 6
Location .............. West of Pasni, Pakistan
Start date ............ 21:26 ut 3rd Apr
Expiry date .......... 00:00 ut 3rd May
Duffy
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 04-04-2017
(04-03-2017, 09:26 PM)Duffy Wrote: Longitude .......... 63' 02' E
Latitude ............. 25' 22' N
Error .................. +/- 1'
Magnitude .......... 5 - 6
Location .............. West of Pasni, Pakistan
Start date ............ 21:26 ut 3rd Apr
Expiry date .......... 00:00 ut 3rd May
Duffy
Duffy;
Are you predicting a quake at this location or 90 degrees away or what?
Because there's never been one at that location. I had to extend the search to a 6 degree radius to find any at all.
My search program works pretty good now. Still some minor bugs to fix but that's normal.
Roger
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Duffy - 04-04-2017
Roger;
I count 7 events greater than 5+, within 3 degrees of prediction location since 2010.
The most recent this year includes; M 6.2 7th Feb 22:03:55 ut ... 63' 18' E - 25' 17' N
M 5.2 8th Feb 11:02:37 ut ... 63' 23' E - 25' 09' N (EMSC)
Duffy
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 04-04-2017
(04-04-2017, 01:33 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;
I count 7 events greater than 5+, within 3 degrees of prediction location since 2010.
The most recent this year includes; M 6.2 7th Feb 22:03:55 ut ... 63' 18' E - 25' 17' N
M 5.2 8th Feb 11:02:37 ut ... 63' 23' E - 25' 09' N (EMSC)
Duffy
Duffy;
There are 45 within a 3 degree radius since 1973, none within 1 degree.
If I'm wrong, let me know so I can fix it.
Roger
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Duffy - 04-04-2017
(04-04-2017, 03:47 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:Roger;(04-04-2017, 01:33 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;
I count 7 events greater than 5+, within 3 degrees of prediction location since 2010.
The most recent this year includes; M 6.2 7th Feb 22:03:55 ut ... 63' 18' E - 25' 17' N
M 5.2 8th Feb 11:02:37 ut ... 63' 23' E - 25' 09' N (EMSC)
Duffy
Duffy;
There are 45 within a 3 degree radius since 1973, none within 1 degree.
If I'm wrong, let me know so I can fix it.
Roger
If you check NEIC or EMSC records against the dates above, you should get the same answers as I did !
Duffy
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 04-04-2017
(04-04-2017, 04:04 PM)Duffy Wrote:(04-04-2017, 03:47 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:Roger;(04-04-2017, 01:33 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;
I count 7 events greater than 5+, within 3 degrees of prediction location since 2010.
The most recent this year includes; M 6.2 7th Feb 22:03:55 ut ... 63' 18' E - 25' 17' N
M 5.2 8th Feb 11:02:37 ut ... 63' 23' E - 25' 09' N (EMSC)
Duffy
Duffy;
There are 45 within a 3 degree radius since 1973, none within 1 degree.
If I'm wrong, let me know so I can fix it.
Roger
If you check NEIC or EMSC records against the dates above, you should get the same answers as I did !
Duffy
Duffy;
I found 14, as follows;
2011, 8, 10, 0, 53, 24.7, 27.723, 65.082, 5.70
2013, 4, 16, 10, 44, 20.2, 28.033, 61.996, 7.70
2013, 4, 17, 3, 15, 52.4, 28.114, 62.354, 5.60
2013, 9, 24, 11, 29, 48.0, 26.951, 65.501, 7.70
2013, 9, 24, 11, 36, 27.7, 27.209, 65.567, 5.80
2013, 9, 24, 11, 41, 50.0, 26.678, 65.404, 5.10
2013, 9, 24, 11, 44, 26.5, 25.376, 65.967, 5.00
2013, 9, 24, 11, 50, 37.4, 26.562, 65.215, 5.00
2013, 9, 24, 17, 20, 13.5, 27.131, 65.471, 5.50
2013, 9, 28, 7, 34, 6.5, 27.182, 65.505, 6.80
2015, 5, 14, 16, 1, 21.3, 24.022, 61.209, 5.30
2015, 5, 17, 11, 16, 53.2, 24.041, 61.260, 5.10
2017, 2, 7, 22, 3, 55.7, 25.201, 63.258, 6.30
2017, 2, 8, 11, 2, 37.5, 25.144, 63.310, 5.20
Which of these are not on your list?
Roger
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 04-04-2017
(04-04-2017, 04:14 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(04-04-2017, 04:04 PM)Duffy Wrote:(04-04-2017, 03:47 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:Roger;(04-04-2017, 01:33 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;
I count 7 events greater than 5+, within 3 degrees of prediction location since 2010.
The most recent this year includes; M 6.2 7th Feb 22:03:55 ut ... 63' 18' E - 25' 17' N
M 5.2 8th Feb 11:02:37 ut ... 63' 23' E - 25' 09' N (EMSC)
Duffy
Duffy;
There are 45 within a 3 degree radius since 1973, none within 1 degree.
If I'm wrong, let me know so I can fix it.
Roger
If you check NEIC or EMSC records against the dates above, you should get the same answers as I did !
Duffy
Duffy;
I found 14, as follows;
2011, 8, 10, 0, 53, 24.7, 27.723, 65.082, 5.70
2013, 4, 16, 10, 44, 20.2, 28.033, 61.996, 7.70
2013, 4, 17, 3, 15, 52.4, 28.114, 62.354, 5.60
2013, 9, 24, 11, 29, 48.0, 26.951, 65.501, 7.70
2013, 9, 24, 11, 36, 27.7, 27.209, 65.567, 5.80
2013, 9, 24, 11, 41, 50.0, 26.678, 65.404, 5.10
2013, 9, 24, 11, 44, 26.5, 25.376, 65.967, 5.00
2013, 9, 24, 11, 50, 37.4, 26.562, 65.215, 5.00
2013, 9, 24, 17, 20, 13.5, 27.131, 65.471, 5.50
2013, 9, 28, 7, 34, 6.5, 27.182, 65.505, 6.80
2015, 5, 14, 16, 1, 21.3, 24.022, 61.209, 5.30
2015, 5, 17, 11, 16, 53.2, 24.041, 61.260, 5.10
2017, 2, 7, 22, 3, 55.7, 25.201, 63.258, 6.30
2017, 2, 8, 11, 2, 37.5, 25.144, 63.310, 5.20
Which of these are not on your list?
Roger
Duffy;
NEIC agrees with my 14.
Your error.
Roger
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Duffy - 04-04-2017
(04-04-2017, 04:44 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:Roger;(04-04-2017, 04:14 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:(04-04-2017, 04:04 PM)Duffy Wrote:(04-04-2017, 03:47 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:Roger;(04-04-2017, 01:33 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;
I count 7 events greater than 5+, within 3 degrees of prediction location since 2010.
The most recent this year includes; M 6.2 7th Feb 22:03:55 ut ... 63' 18' E - 25' 17' N
M 5.2 8th Feb 11:02:37 ut ... 63' 23' E - 25' 09' N (EMSC)
Duffy
Duffy;
There are 45 within a 3 degree radius since 1973, none within 1 degree.
If I'm wrong, let me know so I can fix it.
Roger
If you check NEIC or EMSC records against the dates above, you should get the same answers as I did !
Duffy
Duffy;
I found 14, as follows;
2011, 8, 10, 0, 53, 24.7, 27.723, 65.082, 5.70
2013, 4, 16, 10, 44, 20.2, 28.033, 61.996, 7.70
2013, 4, 17, 3, 15, 52.4, 28.114, 62.354, 5.60
2013, 9, 24, 11, 29, 48.0, 26.951, 65.501, 7.70
2013, 9, 24, 11, 36, 27.7, 27.209, 65.567, 5.80
2013, 9, 24, 11, 41, 50.0, 26.678, 65.404, 5.10
2013, 9, 24, 11, 44, 26.5, 25.376, 65.967, 5.00
2013, 9, 24, 11, 50, 37.4, 26.562, 65.215, 5.00
2013, 9, 24, 17, 20, 13.5, 27.131, 65.471, 5.50
2013, 9, 28, 7, 34, 6.5, 27.182, 65.505, 6.80
2015, 5, 14, 16, 1, 21.3, 24.022, 61.209, 5.30
2015, 5, 17, 11, 16, 53.2, 24.041, 61.260, 5.10
2017, 2, 7, 22, 3, 55.7, 25.201, 63.258, 6.30
2017, 2, 8, 11, 2, 37.5, 25.144, 63.310, 5.20
Which of these are not on your list?
Roger
Duffy;
NEIC agrees with my 14.
Your error.
Roger
Yes you are correct, using "Define your Criteria" on EMSC site showed 7, when I trolled back through the 5's to 2013 it showed 6 on one day ... the error is EMSC.
Yesterday, you couldn't find any events within 6 degrees, today you have found 14 within 3 degrees. I think we can conclude your program works ... all that's missing now is an earthquake in Pasni !
Duffy
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Duffy - 04-04-2017
Roger;
I have been cross referencing some strong signals for the last two weeks, they seem to intersect in Barija, Pakistan on co-ordinates 67' 24' E - 28' 0' N. This is just outside my corridor so I am not predicting, but I am curious weather any events within 1 degree have occurred here ?
Duffy
RE: P 5. East Corridor 3 / 4 / 2017 - Roger Hunter - 04-04-2017
(04-04-2017, 08:07 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;
I have been cross referencing some strong signals for the last two weeks, they seem to intersect in Barija, Pakistan on co-ordinates 67' 24' E - 28' 0' N. This is just outside my corridor so I am not predicting, but I am curious weather any events within 1 degree have occurred here ?
Duffy
Duffy
1986, 10, 16, 19, 54, 10.4, 27.727, 66.650, 5.00
2012, 12, 25, 17, 36, 32.8, 28.464, 66.465, 5.00
2013, 1, 18, 13, 18, 22.6, 28.261, 66.527, 5.20
2013, 12, 19, 19, 28, 40.9, 27.518, 67.454, 5.40
This is all I found in the entire catalog for that location.
I'd like to send you the search program but Google blocks .exe and .zip files
Roger